Dontayvion Wicks or Keenan Allen: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 3 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Too close to call — the edges cancel out.

Dontayvion Wicks and Keenan Allen grade out even this week. Wicks's best edge is snap share (77% to 64%), Allen's best edge is the matchup (27 of 32 to 10) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

Dontayvion Wicks

Dontayvion Wicks

WRPHIvs CHI

Projected Points

Toss-Up
Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen

WR59INDvs HOU

Projected Points

Start

Dontayvion Wicks’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
+123 / -157
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 42.5
-112 / -112
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+300
Anytime Touchdown Props →

Keenan Allen’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
-115 / -111
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 32.5
-113 / -113
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+340
Anytime Touchdown Props →
PHI@
CHIMon, Sep 28, 8:15 PM ETView the game →
HOU@
INDSun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETView the game →

Why Dontayvion Wicks

Toss-Up

WR2 with size and vertical ability. Field-stretching outside target with contested-catch upside.

Toss-up — projects WR48 this week: CHI is the 10th-toughest matchup vs WRs, 18% target share.

  • CHI ranks 10 of 32 against WRs (one of the tougher matchups, 2-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 22.5 team points as 1.5-point underdogs.
  • Listed WR-2 on the latest depth chart with a 77% snap share.

Why Keenan Allen

Start

Veteran possession WR in a crowded receiver room. Elite route craft and reliable hands on third downs.

Start — WR59 consensus, projects WR52 this week: HOU is the 6th-softest matchup vs WRs, 21% target share.

  • HOU ranks 27 of 32 against WRs (one of the softer matchups, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 22.0 team points as 1.5-point underdogs.
  • Listed WR-2 on the latest depth chart with a 64% snap share.

Latest on Allen

Sources: Colts' Keenan Allen faces minimum 3-game suspension

Colts wide receiver Keenan Allen, who was formally charged last week with two misdemeanor offenses stemming from his drunken driving arrest in downtown Indianapolis last month, is facing a minimum three-game suspension, sources told ESPN.

ESPN · Sep 20, 2026
Colts' Keenan Allen formally charged, faces two misdemeanors

Colts wide receiver Keenan Allen was formally charged with two misdemeanor drunken driving charges on Wednesday.

ESPN · Sep 16, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricDontayvion WicksKeenan Allen
Projected points
Consensus rank—WR59
Opponent vs positionCHI · 10 of 322-game sampleHOU · 27 of 323-game sample
Receptions1 of 3222 of 32
Receiving Yards17 of 3227 of 32
Receiving TDs14 of 3229 of 32
Targets6 of 3226 of 32
Anytime TD13 of 3229 of 32
Target share18%21%
Reception share18%20%
Implied total · spread22.5+1.522.0+1.5
Depth chartWR2WR2
Snap share77%64%
Start/Sit record0–0+1 toss-up—

Recent form

Dontayvion Wicks — last 2 weeks

Week 2vs TEN
Week 1vs WSH

Keenan Allen — last 2 weeks

Week 2vs KC
Week 1vs BAL

Signal breakdown

  • 9.9 vs 9.5 projected PPR pointsDontayvion Wicks +
  • Consensus position rankeven
  • Opponent DvP rank 10 vs 27 (32 = softest)Keenan Allen +
  • Implied 22.5 vs 22.0 team pointsDontayvion Wicks +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 77% vs 64% snap shareDontayvion Wicks +

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