Dontayvion Wicks or Xavier Hutchinson: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 3 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Too close to call — the edges cancel out.

Dontayvion Wicks and Xavier Hutchinson grade out even this week. Wicks's best edge is snap share (77% to 64%), Hutchinson's best edge is the game script (23.5 implied points to 22.5) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

Dontayvion Wicks

Dontayvion Wicks

WRPHIvs CHI

Projected Points

Toss-Up
Xavier Hutchinson

Xavier Hutchinson

WRHOUvs IND

Projected Points

Toss-Up

Dontayvion Wicks’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
+116 / -149
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 41.5
-113 / -113
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+295
Anytime Touchdown Props →

Xavier Hutchinson’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
+112 / -143
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 38.5
-114 / -110
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+340
Anytime Touchdown Props →
PHI@
CHIMon, Sep 28, 8:15 PM ETView the game →
HOU@
INDSun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETView the game →

Why Dontayvion Wicks

Toss-Up

WR2 with size and vertical ability. Field-stretching outside target with contested-catch upside.

Toss-up — projects WR48 this week: CHI is the 10th-toughest matchup vs WRs, 18% target share.

  • CHI ranks 10 of 32 against WRs (one of the tougher matchups, 2-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 22.5 team points as 1.5-point underdogs.
  • Listed WR-2 on the latest depth chart with a 77% snap share.

Why Xavier Hutchinson

Toss-Up

Starting WR2-type outside target. Big-framed possession receiver with contested-catch strength, limited separation burst.

Toss-up — projects WR51 this week: 19% target share, 9.6 PPR projected vs IND.

  • IND ranks 15 of 32 against WRs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 23.5 team points as 1.5-point favorites.
  • Listed WR-2 on the latest depth chart with a 64% snap share.

Latest on Hutchinson

Role

With Collins out in Week 2, Xavier Hutchinson secured the most snaps of any Texans wide receiver in the game.

SI.com · Sep 21, 2026

Head-to-head stats

MetricDontayvion WicksXavier Hutchinson
Projected points
Opponent vs positionCHI · 10 of 322-game sampleIND · 15 of 323-game sample
Receptions1 of 3215 of 32
Receiving Yards17 of 3228 of 32
Receiving TDs14 of 3214 of 32
Targets6 of 326 of 32
Anytime TD13 of 3213 of 32
Target share18%19%
Reception share18%13%
Implied total · spread22.5+1.523.5-1.5
Depth chartWR2WR2
Snap share77%64%
Start/Sit record0–0+1 toss-up—

Recent form

Dontayvion Wicks — last 2 weeks

Week 2vs TEN
Week 1vs WSH

Xavier Hutchinson — last 2 weeks

Week 2vs CIN
Week 1vs BUF

Signal breakdown

  • 9.9 vs 9.6 projected PPR pointsDontayvion Wicks +
  • Consensus position rankeven
  • Opponent DvP rank 10 vs 15 (32 = softest)Dontayvion Wicks +
  • Implied 22.5 vs 23.5 team pointsXavier Hutchinson +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 77% vs 64% snap shareDontayvion Wicks +

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