DK Metcalf or Harold Fannin Jr.: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start Fannin — the consensus rank and projection edges are too wide to ignore.

Harold Fannin Jr. is the higher consensus play (TE5 to WR32) and projects 11.2 to Metcalf's 10.1. Metcalf's edge is the game script, 21.5 implied points to 19.0. The gap is narrow.

In standard scoring this is a coin flip.

DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf

WR32PITvs CLE

Projected Points

Toss-Up
Harold Fannin Jr.

Harold Fannin Jr.

TE5CLEvs PIT

Projected Points

Start

DK Metcalf’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
-138 / +108
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 45.5
-113 / -113
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+230
Anytime Touchdown Props →

Harold Fannin Jr.’s market

REC
O/U 4.5
-112 / -114
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 40.5
-113 / -113
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+300
Anytime Touchdown Props →
PIT@
CLEThu, Oct 1, 8:15 PM ETView the game →
PIT@
CLEThu, Oct 1, 8:15 PM ETView the game →

Why DK Metcalf

Toss-Up

WR1 and primary vertical threat. Rare size-speed combination, dominant on go balls and back-shoulder throws.

Toss-up — WR32 consensus, projects WR43 this week: CLE is the 8th-softest matchup vs WRs, 23% target share.

  • CLE ranks 25 of 32 against WRs (one of the softer matchups, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 21.5 team points as 2.5-point favorites.
  • Listed WR on the latest depth chart with a 96% snap share.

Latest on Metcalf

Role

DK Metcalf caught 5-of-9 targets for 115 yards in the Week 4 loss to the Browns, with 93 yards coming in the second half.

NBC Sports · Oct 2, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Harold Fannin Jr.

Start

TE1 and high-volume receiving target. Move tight end and mismatch chess piece with YAC ability.

Start — every-week TE start at consensus TE5: 20% target share, 11.2 PPR projected vs PIT.

  • PIT ranks 9 of 32 against TEs (one of the tougher matchups, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 19.0 team points as 2.5-point underdogs.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 86% snap share.

Latest on Fannin

Role

Fannin has seen at least six targets in each of his past two games.

How to bet Steelers Browns on TNF: Analysis, tips and top prop playsESPN · Oct 1, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricDK MetcalfHarold Fannin Jr.
Projected points
Consensus rankWR32TE5
Opponent vs positionCLE · 25 of 323-game samplePIT · 9 of 323-game sample
Receptions19 of 322 of 32
Receiving Yards23 of 329 of 32
Receiving TDs29 of 3216 of 32
Targets25 of 322 of 32
Anytime TD29 of 3216 of 32
Target share23%20%
Reception share18%21%
Implied total · spread21.5-2.519.0+2.5
Depth chartWR1TE1
Snap share96%86%
Start/Sit record0–1—

Recent form

DK Metcalf — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs CIN
Week 2vs NE
Week 1vs ATL

Harold Fannin Jr. — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs CAR
Week 2vs TB
Week 1vs JAX

Signal breakdown

  • 10.1 vs 11.2 projected PPR pointsHarold Fannin Jr. +
  • Rank 32 vs 5Harold Fannin Jr. +
  • Opponent DvP rank 25 vs 9 (32 = softest)DK Metcalf +
  • Implied 21.5 vs 19.0 team pointsDK Metcalf +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 96% vs 86% snap shareDK Metcalf +

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