Denzel Boston or Malik Willis: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Start Willis — the consensus rank and projection edges are too wide to ignore.
Malik Willis is the higher consensus play (QB21 to WR59) and projects 11.8 to Boston's 10.6. Boston's edge is the game script, 19.0 implied points to 18.0. The gap is comfortable.
Denzel Boston
6.68.610.6 Projected Points
Malik Willis
11.811.811.8 Projected Points
Denzel Boston’s market
Malik Willis’s market
Why Denzel Boston
StartRookie WR starting in the third receiver spot. Big-bodied contested-catch X with red-zone appeal; no NFL sample.
Start — WR59 consensus, projects WR39 this week: 19% target share, 10.6 PPR projected vs PIT.
- PIT ranks 10 of 32 against WRs (one of the tougher matchups, 3-game sample).
- Vegas implies 19.0 team points as 2.5-point underdogs.
- Listed WR on the latest depth chart with a 92% snap share.
Latest on Boston
Odds, bets and analysis to help you bet Steelers-Browns on "Thursday Night Football."
Boston recorded 95 receiving yards and one touchdown in 23-19 win over the Buccaneers
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Malik Willis
SitStarting QB with dual-threat mobility. Strong arm and designed-run value; a career backup signed in free agency to take over the job.
Sit — bench-tier QB at consensus QB21: 18.0 implied team total caps the ceiling, 100% snap share.
- MIN ranks 13 of 32 against QBs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 3-game sample).
- Vegas implies 18.0 team points as 7.5-point underdogs.
- Listed QB on the latest depth chart with a 100% snap share.
Latest on Willis
Willis led the Dolphins in rushing on Sunday.
Transcript: QB Malik Willis Press Conference - September 30miamidolphins.com · Sep 30, 2026Read the full transcript from QB Malik Willis' postgame media availability on September 23, 2026.
Miami's players, coaches say takeaways from 49ers blowout will be building blocks for the rest of the season.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Denzel Boston | Malik Willis |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 6.68.610.6 | 11.811.811.8 |
| Consensus rank | WR59 | QB21 |
| Opponent vs position | PIT · 10 of 323-game sample | MIN · 13 of 323-game sample |
| Receptions | 17 of 32 | — |
| Receiving Yards | 16 of 32 | — |
| Receiving TDs | 7 of 32 | — |
| Targets | 4 of 32 | — |
| Anytime TD | 6 of 32 | — |
| Passing Yards | — | 26 of 32 |
| Passing TDs | — | 4 of 32 |
| Passing Completions | — | 7 of 32 |
| Passing Attempts | — | 29 of 32 |
| Interceptions | — | 1 of 32 |
| Target share | 19% | — |
| Reception share | 16% | — |
| Implied total · spread | 19.0+2.5 | 18.0+7.5 |
| Depth chart | WR1 | QB1 |
| Snap share | 92% | 100% |
Recent form
Denzel Boston — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs CAR | 6.17.18.1 |
| Week 2 | vs TB | 15.518.020.5 |
| Week 1 | vs JAX | 11.912.913.9 |
Malik Willis — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs KC | 10.010.010.0 |
| Week 2 | vs SF | 12.512.512.5 |
| Week 1 | vs LV | 16.716.716.7 |
Signal breakdown
- 10.6 vs 11.8 projected PPR pointsMalik Willis +
- Rank 59 vs 21Malik Willis +
- Opponent DvP rank 10 vs 13 (32 = softest)Malik Willis +
- Implied 19.0 vs 18.0 team pointsDenzel Boston +
- No injury designationseven
- 92% vs 100% snap shareMalik Willis +
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