Daniel Jones or Quentin Johnston: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Start Jones — the projection and consensus rank edges are too wide to ignore.
Daniel Jones projects 15.2 to Johnston's 8.6 and is the higher consensus play (QB20 to WR47). No signal favors Johnston this week. The gap is wide.
Daniel Jones
15.215.215.2 Projected Points
Quentin Johnston
5.57.08.6 Projected Points
Daniel Jones’s market
Quentin Johnston’s market
Why Daniel Jones
Toss-Up· lowStarting QB with mobility and play-extension ability. Rebounded as an efficient distributor in a run-heavy, play-action offense.
QB20 at 15.2 projected is a fringe QB1 in 12-team leagues; soft-leaning WSH matchup (25 of 32) and 24.5 implied total keep him in play.
- WSH ranks 25 of 32 against QBs (one of the softer matchups, 3-game sample).
- Vegas implies 24.5 team points as 1.5-point underdogs.
- Listed QB on the latest depth chart with a 100% snap share.
The call
- At QB20 with a 15.2-point projection, Jones sits below the QB1 line in a 12-team league. He is more of a streamer or bye-week fill-in than an auto-start.
- The matchup leans favorable: WSH ranks 25 of 32 in DvP versus QBs, but that rests on a 3-game sample with 0.25 confidence, so don't lean on it too hard.
- Game script is neutral to positive. A 24.5 implied team total and a 1.5-point spread point to a competitive game where he should keep throwing.
- What tips it: start him over a QB rostered outside the top 15 or when streaming. Sit him if your QB is a locked-in top-12 option. The Downs chemistry headline is unverified and doesn't change the call.
Latest on Jones
The Colts' narrow win over the Houston Texans required both standout performances and sneaky important contributions for this group to earn its first victory of 2026.
The Colts signed Slayton to add explosiveness to their offense with wide receiver Alec Pierce (heel) slated to be placed on injured reserve.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Quentin Johnston
Toss-UpStarting outside WR2. Big-bodied contested-catch target with red-zone scoring production.
Toss-up — WR47 consensus, projects WR58 this week: SEA is the 8th-toughest matchup vs WRs, 20% target share.
- SEA ranks 8 of 32 against WRs (one of the tougher matchups, 3-game sample).
- Vegas implies 21.3 team points as 3.0-point underdogs.
- Listed WR-2 on the latest depth chart with a 82% snap share.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Daniel Jones | Quentin Johnston |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 15.215.215.2 | 5.57.08.6 |
| Consensus rank | QB20 | WR47 |
| Opponent vs position | WSH · 25 of 323-game sample | SEA · 8 of 323-game sample |
| Passing Yards | 29 of 32 | — |
| Passing TDs | 32 of 32 | — |
| Passing Completions | 27 of 32 | — |
| Passing Attempts | 21 of 32 | — |
| Interceptions | 14 of 32 | — |
| Receptions | — | 9 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | — | 1 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | — | 7 of 32 |
| Targets | — | 15 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | — | 6 of 32 |
| Target share | — | 20% |
| Reception share | — | 12% |
| Implied total · spread | 24.5+1.5 | 21.3+3.0 |
| Depth chart | QB1 | WR2 |
| Snap share | 100% | 82% |
| Start/Sit record | 3–0+1 toss-up | 0–2+1 toss-up |
Recent form
Daniel Jones — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs HOU | 7.97.97.9 |
| Week 2 | vs KC | 11.411.411.4 |
| Week 1 | vs BAL | 9.09.09.0 |
Quentin Johnston — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs BUF | 4.05.57.0 |
| Week 2 | vs LV | 1.41.92.4 |
| Week 1 | vs ARI | 1.72.73.7 |
Signal breakdown
- 15.2 vs 8.6 projected PPR pointsDaniel Jones +
- Rank 20 vs 47Daniel Jones +
- Opponent DvP rank 25 vs 8 (32 = softest)Daniel Jones +
- Implied 24.5 vs 21.3 team pointsDaniel Jones +
- No injury designationseven
- 100% vs 82% snap shareDaniel Jones +
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