Dalton Schultz or Kyren Williams: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start Williams — the projection and consensus rank edges are too wide to ignore.

Kyren Williams projects 13.0 to Schultz's 9.0 and is the higher consensus play (RB16 to TE21). Schultz's edge is the matchup, 21 of 32 to 12. The gap is comfortable.

Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz

TE21HOUvs DAL

Projected Points

Start· low
Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams

RB16LARvs PHI

Projected Points

Start· medium

Dalton Schultz’s market

REC
O/U 4.5
-101 / -126
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 38.5
-118 / -113
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+240
Anytime Touchdown Props →

Kyren Williams’s market

RUSH YDS
O/U 59.5
-109 / -115
Rushing Yards Props →
REC
O/U 2.5
+131 / -167
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 13.5
-116 / -109
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
-120
Anytime Touchdown Props →
DAL@
HOUSun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →
LAR@
PHISun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →

Why Dalton Schultz

Start· low

TE1 in high-volume pass-catching role. Reliable chain-mover over the middle with sure hands.

22% target share in an offense implied for 25.0 points gives Schultz a usable floor, though his TE21 consensus rank sits outside TE1 range.

  • DAL ranks 21 of 32 against TEs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 25.0 team points as 2.5-point favorites.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 63% snap share.

The call

  • Usage is the selling point. A 22% target share through 3 games is strong volume for a tight end, and he carries no injury designation.
  • Game environment helps. An implied team total of 25.0 as a 2.5-point favorite points to a productive, balanced script with scoring chances.
  • The matchup is mildly favorable at 21 of 32 against the position. It rests on a 3-game sample with 0.25 confidence, so it adds little.
  • The risk is his ceiling. A 63% snap share and a 9.0-point projection at TE21 make him a streaming-level start. Any healthy top-12 tight end should start over him.

Latest on Schultz

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Kyren Williams

Start· medium

RB1 and feature back. High-volume workhorse with vision, contact balance, and consistent goal-line and passing-game usage.

RB16 consensus with a 63% snap share on a favored offense implying 24.5 points; the matchup is only mildly tough and that read rests on a thin sample.

  • PHI ranks 12 of 32 against RBs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 24.5 team points as 1.5-point favorites.
  • Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 63% snap share.

The call

  • Role is the anchor. Williams has a 63% snap share and an 11% target share across 3 games, and he carries no injury designation. A therams.com report (2026-10-01) says he was used as a receiver from the slot against Denver, which adds PPR upside beyond his rushing work.
  • Consensus has him at RB16 with a 13.0-point projection, inside the RB2 tier of a 12-team league. That clears a typical replacement-level option, so I'm overriding the model's toss-up lean.
  • Game script is favorable. The Rams are 1.5-point favorites with a 24.5 implied total, which points to scoring chances and a neutral-to-positive rushing script.
  • The main risk is PHI's DvP composite of 12 of 32, which is tougher than average. It comes from a 3-game sample at 0.25 confidence, so it shouldn't outweigh his workload.

Latest on Williams

Kyren Williams and Blake Corum's relationship off the field building fuel on the field

With Rams running backs Kyren Williams and Blake Corum splitting carries through two games, their off-field bond growing this offseason is showing up in how they motivate each other on the field during the 2026 season.

therams.com · Sep 25, 2026
The Rams are better when both RBs get the ball

Through two weeks, Williams and Corum have nearly split the carries exactly.

ESPN · Sep 25, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricDalton SchultzKyren Williams
Projected points
Consensus rankTE21RB16
Opponent vs positionDAL · 21 of 323-game samplePHI · 12 of 323-game sample
Receptions19 of 322 of 32
Receiving Yards19 of 321 of 32
Receiving TDs27 of 32—
Targets13 of 32—
Anytime TD26 of 326 of 32
Rushing Yards—26 of 32
Rushing TDs—8 of 32
Rushing Attempts—30 of 32
Target share22%11%
Reception share26%16%
Implied total · spread25.0-2.524.5-1.5
Depth chartTE1RB1
Snap share63%63%
Start/Sit record0–12–0+1 toss-up

Recent form

Dalton Schultz — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs IND
Week 2vs CIN
Week 1vs BUF

Kyren Williams — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs DEN
Week 2vs NYG
Week 1vs SF

Signal breakdown

  • 9.0 vs 13.0 projected PPR pointsKyren Williams +
  • Rank 21 vs 16Kyren Williams +
  • Opponent DvP rank 21 vs 12 (32 = softest)Dalton Schultz +
  • Implied 25.0 vs 24.5 team pointsDalton Schultz +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 63% vs 63% snap shareKyren Williams +

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