Dalton Schultz or David Montgomery: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start Montgomery — the projection edge is too wide to ignore.

David Montgomery projects 13.5 to Schultz's 9.0. Schultz's edge is the consensus rank, TE21 to RB22. The gap is comfortable.

Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz

TE21HOUvs DAL

Projected Points

Start· low
David Montgomery

David Montgomery

RB22HOUvs DAL

Projected Points

Start· medium

Dalton Schultz’s market

REC
O/U 4.5
-144 / +113
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 44.5
-113 / -111
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+215
Anytime Touchdown Props →

David Montgomery’s market

RUSH YDS
O/U 49.5
-111 / -113
Rushing Yards Props →
REC
O/U 1.5
-136 / +106
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 10.5
-114 / -114
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
-130
Anytime Touchdown Props →
DAL@
HOUSun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →
DAL@
HOUSun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →

Why Dalton Schultz

Start· low

TE1 in high-volume pass-catching role. Reliable chain-mover over the middle with sure hands.

22% target share in an offense implied for 25.0 points gives Schultz a usable floor, though his TE21 consensus rank sits outside TE1 range.

  • DAL ranks 21 of 32 against TEs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 25.0 team points as 2.5-point favorites.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 63% snap share.

The call

  • Usage is the selling point. A 22% target share through 3 games is strong volume for a tight end, and he carries no injury designation.
  • Game environment helps. An implied team total of 25.0 as a 2.5-point favorite points to a productive, balanced script with scoring chances.
  • The matchup is mildly favorable at 21 of 32 against the position. It rests on a 3-game sample with 0.25 confidence, so it adds little.
  • The risk is his ceiling. A 63% snap share and a 9.0-point projection at TE21 make him a streaming-level start. Any healthy top-12 tight end should start over him.

Latest on Schultz

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why David Montgomery

Start· medium

RB1 and lead back. Powerful downhill runner with contact balance and reliable short-yardage/goal-line role.

RB22 at 13.5 projected with a 55% snap share and a 25.0 implied total as a 2.5-point favorite. That's a solid RB2 floor in a neutral matchup.

  • DAL ranks 21 of 32 against RBs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 25.0 team points as 2.5-point favorites.
  • Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 55% snap share.

The call

  • Consensus RB22 with a 13.5-point PPR projection puts him squarely in 12-team RB2/flex territory, above typical replacement options.
  • Game script helps: his team is a 2.5-point favorite with a healthy 25.0 implied total, which supports rushing volume and goal-line chances.
  • Matchup is roughly neutral. DAL ranks 21 of 32 in DvP, slightly on the soft side, but that rests on a 3-game sample with only 0.25 confidence, so don't lean on it.
  • Risk: a 6% target share caps his PPR ceiling, and a 55% snap share means he splits work. He's touchdown-dependent, which keeps confidence at medium.

Head-to-head stats

MetricDalton SchultzDavid Montgomery
Projected points
Consensus rankTE21RB22
Opponent vs positionDAL · 21 of 323-game sampleDAL · 21 of 323-game sample
Receptions19 of 329 of 32
Receiving Yards19 of 328 of 32
Receiving TDs27 of 32—
Targets13 of 32—
Anytime TD26 of 3225 of 32
Rushing Yards—28 of 32
Rushing TDs—25 of 32
Rushing Attempts—29 of 32
Target share22%6%
Reception share26%10%
Implied total · spread25.0-2.525.0-2.5
Depth chartTE1RB1
Snap share63%55%
Start/Sit record0–10–1+2 toss-ups

Recent form

Dalton Schultz — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs IND
Week 2vs CIN
Week 1vs BUF

David Montgomery — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs IND
Week 2vs CIN
Week 1vs BUF

Signal breakdown

  • 9.0 vs 13.5 projected PPR pointsDavid Montgomery +
  • Rank 21 vs 22Dalton Schultz +
  • Opponent DvP rank 21 vs 21 (32 = softest)Dalton Schultz +
  • Implied 25.0 vs 25.0 team pointseven
  • No injury designationseven
  • 63% vs 55% snap shareDalton Schultz +

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