Courtland Sutton or Jameson Williams: Who Should You Start?

The call

• Usage is not the question: 85% snap share and a 21% target share make him Denver's clear No. 1 read, so the floor comes from volume rather than script.
• The ceiling is capped — a 20.0 implied team total and a defense that grades 10 of 32 (32 = softest) against the position points to a lower-scoring, contested afternoon.
• WR33 at 11.7 projected points is exactly flex-tier math; he's a fine third receiver but not someone you force over a WR with a friendlier game environment.
• Tiebreaker: if Denver is chasing points as a 2.5-point underdog scenario develops, the target volume plays up and he's a start; in a grind-it-out game he's a 9-10 point WR.

The call

• Role is not in question: 90% snap share and a 19% target share over 17 games make him the clear WR-2 in one of the league's highest-scoring offenses.
• Vegas backs the volume — a 27.8 implied team total gives Detroit plenty of scoring chances, and his 12.1 projected points slot him as a WR26, a startable weekly floor in 12-team PPR.
• The DvP composite ranks New Orleans 10 of 32 against the position, but that's a 0-game sample at 0.00 confidence, so it shouldn't override the role and team-total evidence.
• Main risk is the profile: as a field-stretcher his week-to-week output is spiky, and a -7.0 spread could shift Detroit to the run late if they build a lead.