Chris Godwin Jr. or Pat Freiermuth: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Freiermuth’s steadier TE role wins a narrow edge over Godwin

Freiermuth gets the nod, but the small projection gap is not enough to make either player a comfortable start. Godwin has the better team scoring outlook and more time on the field, yet his 12% target share leaves those routes without dependable PPR volume. Freiermuth’s target share is only slightly higher, but his TE1 pass-catching role and chain-moving profile make that usage more bankable; ESPN 2026-09-17 also frames him as trending upward after Week 1. Both remain sits on this board.

What flips it: A meaningful rise in Godwin’s target share.

Sources: ESPN · Sep 17, 2026

AI editor

Chris Godwin Jr.

Chris Godwin Jr.

WR42TBvs GB

Projected Points

Sit
Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth

TE24PITvs CLE

Projected Points

Sit

Chris Godwin Jr.’s market

REC
O/U 2.5
-127 / +100
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 27.5
-114 / -114
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+475
Anytime Touchdown Props →

Pat Freiermuth’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
+109 / -138
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 28.5
-110 / -114
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+400
Anytime Touchdown Props →
GB@
TBSun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →
PIT@
CLEThu, Oct 1, 8:15 PM ETView the game →

Why Chris Godwin Jr.

Sit

Starting WR with slot-to-boundary versatility. Physical route runner and YAC producer; recent seasons shortened by injury.

Sit — WR42 consensus, projects WR69 this week: 12% target share, 7.0 PPR projected vs GB.

  • His WR-2 slot and route versatility give him a path to more looks if Tampa’s passing game tilts his way.
  • The extra snaps show he is on the field, but so far they have not translated into reliable target volume.

Why Pat Freiermuth

Sit

TE1 in pass-catching role. Reliable chain-mover with red-zone size and dependable hands.

Sit — bench-tier TE at consensus TE24: 13% target share, 7.9 PPR projected vs CLE.

  • As the TE1 and a dependable chain-mover, he can turn modest usage into useful catches.
  • His red-zone size offers a touchdown route, though that upside depends on converting limited chances.

Latest on Freiermuth

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricChris Godwin Jr.Pat Freiermuth
Projected points
Consensus rankWR42TE24
Opponent vs positionGB · 18 of 323-game sampleCLE · 19 of 323-game sample
Receptions26 of 3225 of 32
Receiving Yards18 of 3224 of 32
Receiving TDs15 of 3210 of 32
Targets15 of 3227 of 32
Anytime TD14 of 329 of 32
Target share12%13%
Reception share16%17%
Implied total · spread23.0+1.521.5-2.5
Depth chartWR2TE2
Snap share78%66%
Start/Sit record0–0+2 toss-ups—

Recent form

Chris Godwin Jr. — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs MIN
Week 2vs CLE
Week 1vs CIN

Pat Freiermuth — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs CIN
Week 2vs NE
Week 1vs ATL

Signal breakdown

  • 7.0 vs 7.9 projected PPR pointsPat Freiermuth +
  • Rank 42 vs 24Pat Freiermuth +
  • Opponent DvP rank 18 vs 19 (32 = softest)Pat Freiermuth +
  • Implied 23.0 vs 21.5 team pointsChris Godwin Jr. +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 78% vs 66% snap shareChris Godwin Jr. +

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