Chris Godwin Jr. or Kyle Pitts Sr.: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start Pitts by a narrow edge: the stronger tight-end standing outweighs Godwin’s extra usage

Pitts gets the nod because his TE7 standing and the softer New Orleans matchup give him the stronger position-specific case, even though Godwin is more involved and plays for the higher-scoring offense. The projected-point gap is only four-tenths, so it offers little separation by itself. Pitts’ biggest risk is that his limited involvement leaves him with almost no floor; Godwin’s broader role makes him a credible alternative.

What flips it: Godwin earning enough additional targets to turn his heavier route involvement into reliable volume.

AI editor

Chris Godwin Jr.

Chris Godwin Jr.

WR42TBvs GB

Projected Points

Sit
Kyle Pitts Sr.

Kyle Pitts Sr.

TE7ATLvs NO

Projected Points

Toss-Up· low

Chris Godwin Jr.’s market

REC
O/U 2.5
-127 / +100
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 27.5
-114 / -114
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+475
Anytime Touchdown Props →

Kyle Pitts Sr.’s market

REC
O/U 2.5
-138 / +108
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 26.5
-115 / -109
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+450
Anytime Touchdown Props →
GB@
TBSun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →
ATL@
NOMon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ETView the game →

Why Chris Godwin Jr.

Sit

Starting WR with slot-to-boundary versatility. Physical route runner and YAC producer; recent seasons shortened by injury.

Sit — WR42 consensus, projects WR69 this week: 12% target share, 7.0 PPR projected vs GB.

  • Godwin’s slot-to-boundary versatility gives him multiple ways to stay involved in the offense.
  • His heavier snap role and stronger team scoring outlook are real advantages over Pitts.

Why Kyle Pitts Sr.

Toss-Up· low

TE1 and vertical seam threat. Rare size-speed mismatch profile with high-volume target share in the passing game.

TE7 consensus and a soft NO matchup (26 of 32) argue start, but an 8% target share on 53% snaps backs the model's sit-lean.

  • Pitts’ vertical seam-threat profile offers a downfield path that his recent results haven’t shown.
  • The softer matchup helps offset his lighter role and makes the TE7 case more than just a rank advantage.

The call

  • Consensus ranks him TE7 at 7.4 projected PPR points. That is starter territory at a thin position in 12-team leagues, and it is the main factor against the house sit-lean.
  • His usage is the problem. A 53% snap share and 8% target share over 3 games is part-time, low-volume work that does not support a top-8 TE ranking on its own.
  • The matchup is favorable on paper (NO rates 26 of 32 vs TEs), but it rests on a 3-game sample at 0.25 confidence. A 21.5 implied team total and 2.5 spread suggest a middling, competitive script.
  • What tips it: if your alternative TE has a locked-in route and target role, sit Pitts per the model. If you are choosing among streamers with similar or thinner usage, his TE7 ranking and soft matchup make him the start.

Latest on Pitts

How to bet Falcons-Packers on TNF: Analysis, tips and top plays

Odds, bets and analysis to help you bet Falcons-Packers on "Thursday Night Football."

ESPN · Sep 24, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricChris Godwin Jr.Kyle Pitts Sr.
Projected points
Consensus rankWR42TE7
Opponent vs positionGB · 18 of 323-game sampleNO · 26 of 323-game sample
Receptions26 of 3231 of 32
Receiving Yards18 of 3230 of 32
Receiving TDs15 of 3218 of 32
Targets15 of 3231 of 32
Anytime TD14 of 3218 of 32
Target share12%8%
Reception share16%4%
Implied total · spread23.0+1.521.5+2.5
Depth chartWR2TE1
Snap share78%53%
Start/Sit record0–0+2 toss-ups1–1+2 toss-ups

Recent form

Chris Godwin Jr. — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs MIN
Week 2vs CLE
Week 1vs CIN

Kyle Pitts Sr. — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs GB
Week 2vs CAR
Week 1vs PIT

Signal breakdown

  • 7.0 vs 7.4 projected PPR pointsKyle Pitts Sr. +
  • Rank 42 vs 7Kyle Pitts Sr. +
  • Opponent DvP rank 18 vs 26 (32 = softest)Kyle Pitts Sr. +
  • Implied 23.0 vs 21.5 team pointsChris Godwin Jr. +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 78% vs 53% snap shareChris Godwin Jr. +

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