Chris Godwin Jr. or Gunnar Helm: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Helm edges Godwin, but the board still says sit

Helm gets the narrow head-to-head nod: his TE24 standing is stronger relative to his position than Godwin’s WR42, though both remain sits on the board. Their 0.1-point projection gap is noise; Godwin has the better team scoring outlook and the slightly friendlier, low-confidence matchup, while Helm’s edge comes from a more involved receiving role—not a safer game environment. Tennessee’s large underdog spread threatens to squeeze Helm’s underneath volume, and Godwin’s modest target share leaves little margin for Tampa Bay’s better setup to pay off.

What flips it: A sustained increase in Godwin’s target share.

AI editor

Chris Godwin Jr.

Chris Godwin Jr.

WR42TBvs GB

Projected Points

Sit
Gunnar Helm

Gunnar Helm

TE24TENvs BAL

Projected Points

Sit

Chris Godwin Jr.’s market

REC
O/U 2.5
-119 / -107
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 25.5
-110 / -114
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+500
Anytime Touchdown Props →

Gunnar Helm’s market

REC
O/U 2.5
-129 / +101
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 17.5
-117 / -107
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+550
Anytime Touchdown Props →
GB@
TBSun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →
TEN@
BALSun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →

Why Chris Godwin Jr.

Sit

Starting WR with slot-to-boundary versatility. Physical route runner and YAC producer; recent seasons shortened by injury.

Sit — WR42 consensus, projects WR69 this week: 12% target share, 7.0 PPR projected vs GB.

  • Slot-to-boundary versatility gives Godwin different routes to targets, but his current role limits the upside.
  • Tampa Bay’s scoring outlook gives him the stronger team environment of the pair.

Why Gunnar Helm

Sit

Starting TE and volume underneath target. Reliable seam and checkdown option with developing in-line blocking.

Sit — bench-tier TE at consensus TE24: 14% target share, 7.1 PPR projected vs BAL.

  • Helm’s starting, underneath role offers a route to PPR catches even if Tennessee struggles to move the ball.
  • His involvement gives him a slight role edge, though the underdog script is a meaningful threat.

Head-to-head stats

MetricChris Godwin Jr.Gunnar Helm
Projected points
Consensus rankWR42TE24
Opponent vs positionGB · 18 of 323-game sampleBAL · 14 of 323-game sample
Receptions26 of 3211 of 32
Receiving Yards18 of 3214 of 32
Receiving TDs15 of 3218 of 32
Targets15 of 329 of 32
Anytime TD14 of 3218 of 32
Target share12%14%
Reception share16%15%
Implied total · spread23.0+1.519.5+8.5
Depth chartWR2TE1
Snap share78%82%
Start/Sit record0–0+2 toss-ups—

Recent form

Chris Godwin Jr. — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs MIN
Week 2vs CLE
Week 1vs CIN

Gunnar Helm — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs NYG
Week 2vs PHI
Week 1vs NYJ

Signal breakdown

  • 7.0 vs 7.1 projected PPR pointsGunnar Helm +
  • Rank 42 vs 24Gunnar Helm +
  • Opponent DvP rank 18 vs 14 (32 = softest)Chris Godwin Jr. +
  • Implied 23.0 vs 19.5 team pointsChris Godwin Jr. +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 78% vs 82% snap shareGunnar Helm +

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