Brandon Aubrey or Cam Little: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Aubrey keeps the edge, but Dallas rain leaves Little in striking distance

Aubrey gets the call because his K1 consensus standing, slightly stronger attempt environment and higher team expectation outweigh the weather penalty. The margin is narrow: rain is the clear threat to an otherwise superior profile, so this is not a comfortable kicker edge. Little has the cleaner forecast, elite range and a strong favorite script, but his lighter field-goal outlook leaves him behind.

What flips it: A late shift from drizzle to steady rain in Dallas.

AI editor

Brandon Aubrey

Brandon Aubrey

K1DALvs NYG

Projected Points

Start
Cam Little

Cam Little

K6JAXvs CLE

Projected Points

Start

Why Brandon Aubrey

Start

Starting K with elite leg strength. Reliable from extreme distance and on kickoffs.

Start — K1 by consensus, projects K2 this week: rain in the forecast, and 2.3 FG tries projected, above the 2.0 median.

  • Dallas offers the better combination of expected scoring and field-goal volume, even with rain adding volatility.
  • Aubrey’s distance reliability gives him more ways to cash in if the Cowboys stall outside the red zone.

Why Cam Little

Start

Starting K with elite leg strength. Proven range well beyond 55 yards.

Start — K6 by consensus, projects K7 this week: 1.6 red-zone stalls a game, and 8.8 pts projected vs CLE.

  • Clear conditions protect Little’s long-range weapon and remove the main environmental concern facing Aubrey.
  • Jacksonville’s heavy favorite status supports a steady scoring script, even if touchdowns could limit kick volume.

Head-to-head stats

MetricBrandon AubreyCam Little
Projected points
Consensus rankK1K6
Projected FG attempts2.32.1
Red-zone stalls / game1.6(2025)1.6(2025)
Kicking conditionsrain forecast at kickoffCalm forecast at kickoff
Implied total · spread25.0-1.524.0-7.5
Field-goal %85.7%(2025)88.2%(2025)
Depth chartK1K1

Signal breakdown

  • 9.9 vs 8.8 projected PPR pointsBrandon Aubrey +
  • Rank 1 vs 6Brandon Aubrey +
  • 2.3 vs 2.1 projected attemptsBrandon Aubrey +
  • 1.6 vs 1.6 red-zone stalls per gameBrandon Aubrey +
  • 3 mph, 78°F, drizzle vs 5 mph, 97°F, partly cloudyCam Little +
  • Implied 25.0 vs 24.0 team pointsBrandon Aubrey +
  • No injury designationseven

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