Bijan Robinson or Xavier Worthy: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Start Robinson — the projection and consensus rank edges are too wide to ignore.
Bijan Robinson projects 21.4 to Worthy's 9.8 and is the higher consensus play (RB2 to WR49). Worthy's edge is the game script, 24.5 implied points to 21.5. The gap is wide.
Bijan Robinson
17.519.521.4 Projected Points
Xavier Worthy
6.78.29.8 Projected Points
Bijan Robinson’s market
Xavier Worthy’s market
Why Bijan Robinson
StartRB1 and every-down feature back. Elite three-down workload with explosive vision, contact balance and major receiving usage.
Start — every-week RB start at consensus RB2: NO is the 9th-softest matchup vs RBs, 22% target share.
- NO ranks 24 of 32 against RBs (one of the softer matchups, 3-game sample).
- Vegas implies 21.5 team points as 2.5-point underdogs.
- Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 67% snap share.
Latest on Robinson
Robinson is operating in a new-look offense with a refashioned run design.
Bijan Robinson named NFC Offensive Player of the Weekatlantafalcons.com · Sep 30, 2026Bijan Robinson and Drake London couldn't be stopped, as Atlanta ended Green Bay's streak of 13 straight home-opening wins.
Catching you up on the news, notes and quotes from the Falcons' win against the Green Bay Packers
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Xavier Worthy
StartWR2 and vertical speed threat. Elite track speed with jet-motion and manufactured-touch usage.
Start — WR49 consensus, projects WR47 this week: 24.5 implied team total, 17% target share.
- LV ranks 7 of 32 against WRs (one of the tougher matchups, 3-game sample).
- Vegas implies 24.5 team points as 5.5-point favorites.
- Listed WR-2 on the latest depth chart with a 82% snap share.
Latest on Worthy
Worthy has had 15 targets and 10 receptions for 36 yards this season.
Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs have rediscovered the deep passESPN · Oct 2, 2026Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Bijan Robinson | Xavier Worthy |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 17.519.521.4 | 6.78.29.8 |
| Consensus rank | RB2 | WR49 |
| Opponent vs position | NO · 24 of 323-game sample | LV · 7 of 323-game sample |
| Rushing Yards | 29 of 32 | — |
| Rushing TDs | 29 of 32 | — |
| Rushing Attempts | 22 of 32 | — |
| Receptions | 17 of 32 | 1 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 23 of 32 | 14 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 25 of 32 | 1 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | — | 1 of 32 |
| Targets | — | 19 of 32 |
| Target share | 22% | 17% |
| Reception share | 27% | 15% |
| Implied total · spread | 21.5+2.5 | 24.5-5.5 |
| Depth chart | RB1 | WR2 |
| Snap share | 67% | 82% |
| Start/Sit record | — | 1–1+1 toss-up |
Recent form
Bijan Robinson — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs GB | 33.334.335.3 |
| Week 2 | vs CAR | 8.19.611.1 |
| Week 1 | vs PIT | 23.327.331.3 |
Xavier Worthy — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs MIA | 2.03.04.0 |
| Week 2 | vs IND | 8.511.013.5 |
| Week 1 | vs DEN | 1.83.34.8 |
Signal breakdown
- 21.4 vs 9.8 projected PPR pointsBijan Robinson +
- Rank 2 vs 49Bijan Robinson +
- Opponent DvP rank 24 vs 7 (32 = softest)Bijan Robinson +
- Implied 21.5 vs 24.5 team pointsXavier Worthy +
- No injury designationseven
- 67% vs 82% snap shareXavier Worthy +
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