Falcons D/ST or Vikings D/ST: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Start the Vikings — the lineup-share and home-field edges are too wide to ignore.
Vikings D/ST is started in more leagues (started rank 15 to 28) and plays at home. the Falcons's edge is opponent giveaways, 2.4 sacks allowed to 2.1. The gap is comfortable.
Falcons D/ST
D/STATLvs PIT
4.34.34.3 Projected Points
Toss-Up
Vikings D/ST
D/STMINvs GB
4.14.14.1 Projected Points
Sit
Why Falcons D/ST
Toss-UpToss-up — a middling defensive matchup (No. 22 this week): on the road, and 4.3 pts projected vs PIT.
- PIT's offense gives up 2.4 sacks and 0.9 turnovers a game (2025), near league average.
- Vegas has PIT at 22.8 points as 3-point favorites.
- Under-started: only 1% of leagues have them in, 28th among defenses, against a No. 22 matchup.
Why Vikings D/ST
SitSit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 25): GB protects the ball (0.8 turnovers a game), and 4.1 pts projected vs GB.
- GB's offense gives up 2.1 sacks and 0.8 turnovers a game (2025), below league average.
- Vegas has GB at 23 points as 1.5-point favorites.
- Over-started: 11% of leagues have them in, 15th among defenses, against a No. 25 matchup.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Falcons D/ST | Vikings D/ST |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 4.34.34.3 | 4.14.14.1 |
| Projection rank | Proj.DST22 | Proj.DST25 |
| Started in | 1% of leagues | 11% of leagues |
| Opponent sacks allowed / game | 2.4(2025) | 2.1(2025) |
| Opponent turnovers / game | 0.9(2025) | 0.8(2025) |
| Opponent implied total | 22.8 | 23.0 |
| Home / away | Away | Home |
Signal breakdown
- 4.3 vs 4.1 projected PPR pointsFalcons D/ST +
- Started rank 28 vs 15 (1% vs 11% of leagues)Vikings D/ST +
- 2.4 sacks / 0.9 TO vs 2.1 sacks / 0.8 TO per game allowedFalcons D/ST +
- Opponent implied 22.8 vs 23.0 pointsFalcons D/ST +
- Away vs HomeVikings D/ST +
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