Tucker Kraft or Tyler Allgeier: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Kraft's every-down role beats Allgeier's touchdown-dependent path

Kraft wins because his primary seam role gives him a dependable PPR floor, while Allgeier needs short-yardage work to rescue a committee role. The projection gap is modest for a tight end, but the difference in expected involvement makes Kraft the sturdier start, especially with Green Bay carrying the stronger scoring outlook. Allgeier's best case is a goal-line touchdown, while Kraft's risk is that his return from injury leads to a less-than-full workload.

What flips it: Kraft avoids a post-injury workload restriction.

AI editor

Tucker Kraft

Tucker Kraft

TE9GBvs MIN

Projected Points

Start· medium
Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier

RB48ARIvs LAC

Projected Points

Sit
GB@
MINSun, Sep 13, 4:25 PM ETView the game →
ARI@
LACSun, Sep 13, 4:25 PM ETView the game →

Why Tucker Kraft

Start· medium

TE1 and primary seam threat. Physical yards-after-catch producer and capable in-line blocker; returning from injury.

TE9 with an 86% snap share and 20% target share and no injury designation — that's a locked-in every-week TE1 in 12-team PPR.

  • Kraft's route involvement and in-line role give him multiple ways to earn points.
  • Green Bay's favorable scoring environment supports his red-zone and seam usage.

The call

  • A 20% target share over eight games is elite usage for the position; Kraft is a genuine focal point in this passing game, not a situational piece.
  • 86% snap share means he's on the field for essentially every meaningful down, including the two-minute and red-zone work that drives TE scoring.
  • No injury designation and a 9.0-point projection at TE9 clears the 12-team replacement bar comfortably, which is why I'm firmer than the model's toss-up.
  • Risk is the game environment: a 23.0 implied total and -1.5 spread point to a tight, moderate-scoring game, so the ceiling is more 12-14 than 20-plus.

Why Tyler Allgeier

Sit

Power back splitting a committee backfield. Compact downhill runner and short-yardage/goal-line finisher with red-zone scoring value.

Sit — RB48 consensus, projects RB46 this week: 17.0 implied team total caps the ceiling, 3% target share in 2025.

  • Allgeier can beat the call if Arizona leans on him near the goal line.
  • His downhill style remains useful if the game unexpectedly becomes competitive.

Head-to-head stats

MetricTucker KraftTyler Allgeier
Projected points
Consensus rankTE9RB48
Opponent vs positionMINno ranking yetLACno ranking yet
Target share20%(2025)3%(2025)
Reception share21%(2025)4%(2025)
Implied total · spread23.0-1.517.0+11.5
Depth chartTE1RB2
Snap share86%(2025)30%(2025)

Signal breakdown

  • 9.0 vs 6.8 projected PPR pointsTucker Kraft +
  • Rank 9 vs 48Tucker Kraft +
  • Matchup (DvP composite)even
  • Implied 23.0 vs 17.0 team pointsTucker Kraft +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 86% vs 30% snap shareTucker Kraft +

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