Terrance Ferguson or Tony Pollard: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 3 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Start Pollard — the availability edge is too wide to ignore.
Tony Pollard is the healthier side of this call (Ferguson carries a D tag). Ferguson's edge is the consensus rank, TE22 to RB28. The gap is comfortable.
Terrance Ferguson
TE22LARvs DEN
6.78.610.6 Projected Points
Toss-Up· low
Tony Pollard
RB28TENvs NYG
8.89.710.5 Projected Points
Toss-Up· low
Terrance Ferguson’s market
Tony Pollard’s market
Why Terrance Ferguson
Toss-Up· lowSecond-year TE2 and athletic receiving option. Explosive seam threat with big-play efficiency and red-zone scoring value behind the starter.
18% target share and a 24.3 implied total support the start-lean, but TE22 rank, a stingy DEN matchup (8 of 32) and an ankle note cap the upside.
- DEN ranks 8 of 32 against TEs (one of the tougher matchups, 2-game sample).
- Vegas implies 24.3 team points as 3.0-point favorites.
- Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 55% snap share.
The call
- Usage is the case for him: an 18% target share on a 55% snap share is starter-caliber volume for a tight end, and the 10.6 PPR projection reflects that.
- Game environment helps. The Rams are 3-point favorites with a 24.3 implied total, so scoring chances should be there.
- Matchup cuts the other way. DEN ranks 8 of 32 vs TEs (32 = softest), though that rests on a 2-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so weight it lightly.
- Risk: Yahoo (2026-09-23) reported he was a surprise limited participant with an ankle injury. He carries no designation now, but at TE22 he sits outside the 12-team starter tier. Start him over a streamer outside the top 15; sit him for anyone ranked there or higher.
Latest on Ferguson
Status
Terrance Ferguson is likely to miss Sunday's game after sustaining a medial ankle sprain.
Injury Updates: McVay says Terrance Ferguson (ankle) and Jaylen Watson (shoulder) likely out for Week 4 at Eagles; latest on Colby Parkinson (shoulder) and Puka Nacua (hip)therams.com · Sep 28, 2026Status
Terrance Ferguson was listed as a limited participant with an ankle injury and was a surprise addition to Wednesday's injury report.
Yahoo Sports · Sep 23, 2026Odds, bets and analysis to help you bet Rams-Broncos on "Sunday Night Football."
ESPN · Sep 27, 2026
VideoESPN · Sep 22, 2026
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Tony Pollard
Toss-Up· lowRB1 and lead back. One-cut zone runner with breakaway speed and 1,000-yard workload.
RB28 at 10.5 projected with a 54% snap share and neutral NYG matchup (16 of 32) — flex-borderline; tips on your alternative's floor.
- NYG ranks 16 of 32 against RBs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 2-game sample).
- Vegas implies 20.8 team points as 3.0-point underdogs.
- Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 54% snap share.
The call
- Projection of 10.5 PPR points and a consensus RB28 rank put Pollard squarely on the RB2/flex line in 12-team leagues, neither a lock nor a clear bench.
- A 54% snap share over 2 games means he's the lead piece but not a workhorse, and a 7% target share caps his PPR floor.
- The NYG matchup grades as dead neutral at 16 of 32, but it rests on a 2-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so it shouldn't move the needle.
- A 20.8 implied team total and 3.0 spread suggest a competitive, modest-scoring script. Start him over a pass-catching-light alternative, but lean toward a flex option with a bigger target share if you have one.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Terrance Ferguson | Tony Pollard |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 6.78.610.6 | 8.89.710.5 |
| Consensus rank | TE22 | RB28 |
| Opponent vs position | DEN · 8 of 322-game sample | NYG · 16 of 322-game sample |
| Receptions | 9 of 32 | 11 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 21 of 32 | 13 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | 1 of 32 | — |
| Targets | 7 of 32 | — |
| Anytime TD | 1 of 32 | 25 of 32 |
| Rushing Yards | — | 24 of 32 |
| Rushing TDs | — | 10 of 32 |
| Rushing Attempts | — | 10 of 32 |
| Target share | 18% | 7% |
| Reception share | 15% | 6% |
| Implied total · spread | 24.3-3.0 | 20.8+3.0 |
| Depth chart | TE2 | RB1 |
| Snap share | 55% | 54% |
| Injury designation | D | — |
| Start/Sit record | 0–0+1 toss-up | 0–0+3 toss-ups |
Recent form
Terrance Ferguson — last 2 weeks
| Week 2 | vs NYG | 11.414.417.4 |
| Week 1 | vs SF | 0.00.00.0 |
Tony Pollard — last 2 weeks
| Week 2 | vs PHI | 6.57.07.5 |
| Week 1 | vs NYJ | 3.43.94.4 |
Signal breakdown
- 10.6 vs 10.5 projected PPR pointsTerrance Ferguson +
- Rank 22 vs 28Terrance Ferguson +
- Opponent DvP rank 8 vs 16 (32 = softest)even
- Implied 24.3 vs 20.8 team pointsTerrance Ferguson +
- D vs no designationTony Pollard +
- 55% vs 54% snap shareTerrance Ferguson +
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