Terrance Ferguson or Terry McLaurin: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 3 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Too close to call — the edges cancel out.

Terrance Ferguson and Terry McLaurin grade out even this week. Ferguson's best edge is the game script (24.3 implied points to 21.5), McLaurin's best edge is the projection (11.8 to 10.6) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

Terrance Ferguson

Terrance Ferguson

TE22LARvs DEN

Projected Points

Toss-Up· low
Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin

WR22WSHvs SEA

Projected Points

Toss-Up

Terrance Ferguson’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
-172 / +128
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 48.5
-113 / -113
Receiving Yards Props →

Terry McLaurin’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
-108 / -118
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 41.5
-112 / -112
Receiving Yards Props →

Why Terrance Ferguson

Toss-Up· low

Second-year TE2 and athletic receiving option. Explosive seam threat with big-play efficiency and red-zone scoring value behind the starter.

18% target share and a 24.3 implied total support the start-lean, but TE22 rank, a stingy DEN matchup (8 of 32) and an ankle note cap the upside.

  • DEN ranks 8 of 32 against TEs (one of the tougher matchups, 2-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 24.3 team points as 3.0-point favorites.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 55% snap share.

The call

  • Usage is the case for him: an 18% target share on a 55% snap share is starter-caliber volume for a tight end, and the 10.6 PPR projection reflects that.
  • Game environment helps. The Rams are 3-point favorites with a 24.3 implied total, so scoring chances should be there.
  • Matchup cuts the other way. DEN ranks 8 of 32 vs TEs (32 = softest), though that rests on a 2-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so weight it lightly.
  • Risk: Yahoo (2026-09-23) reported he was a surprise limited participant with an ankle injury. He carries no designation now, but at TE22 he sits outside the 12-team starter tier. Start him over a streamer outside the top 15; sit him for anyone ranked there or higher.

Latest on Ferguson

Status

Terrance Ferguson was listed as a limited participant with an ankle injury and was a surprise addition to Wednesday's injury report.

Yahoo Sports · Sep 23, 2026

Odds, bets and analysis to help you bet Rams-Broncos on "Sunday Night Football."

ESPN · Sep 27, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Terry McLaurin

Toss-Up

WR1 and offensive centerpiece. Explosive vertical route-runner with elite release package; missed time in 2025.

Toss-up — WR22 consensus, projects WR27 this week: SEA is the 8th-toughest matchup vs WRs, 24% target share.

  • SEA ranks 8 of 32 against WRs (one of the tougher matchups, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 21.5 team points as 3.5-point underdogs.
  • Listed WR on the latest depth chart with a 77% snap share.

Latest on McLaurin

Experts weigh in on Daniels' latest injury and what it means for him, the Commanders and their collective futures.

ESPN · Sep 25, 2026

John Keim explains why Terry McLaurin has patience amid the Commanders' 0-2 start.

VideoESPN · Sep 24, 2026

After a short video clip showed a number of Commanders walking past Jayden Daniels as he was being helped by medical personnel Sunday, many players fired back at the takes being spouted on social media, emphasizing, "It's bulls--- what people are saying."

ESPN · Sep 24, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricTerrance FergusonTerry McLaurin
Projected points
Consensus rankTE22WR22
Opponent vs positionDEN · 8 of 322-game sampleSEA · 8 of 323-game sample
Receptions9 of 3210 of 32
Receiving Yards21 of 321 of 32
Receiving TDs1 of 327 of 32
Targets7 of 3216 of 32
Anytime TD1 of 326 of 32
Target share18%24%
Reception share15%17%
Implied total · spread24.3-3.021.5+3.5
Depth chartTE2WR1
Snap share55%77%
Start/Sit record0–0+1 toss-up—

Recent form

Terrance Ferguson — last 2 weeks

Week 2vs NYG
Week 1vs SF

Terry McLaurin — last 2 weeks

Week 2vs DAL
Week 1vs PHI

Signal breakdown

  • 10.6 vs 11.8 projected PPR pointsTerry McLaurin +
  • Rank 22 vs 22Terry McLaurin +
  • Opponent DvP rank 8 vs 8 (32 = softest)Terrance Ferguson +
  • Implied 24.3 vs 21.5 team pointsTerrance Ferguson +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 55% vs 77% snap shareTerry McLaurin +

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