Pat Freiermuth or TreVeyon Henderson: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Too close to call — the edges cancel out.

Pat Freiermuth and TreVeyon Henderson grade out even this week. Freiermuth's best edge is the consensus rank (TE24 to RB27), Henderson's best edge is the projection (9.5 to 8.1) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

In standard and half-PPR scoring this flips to Henderson.

Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth

TE24PITvs CLE

Projected Points

Sit
TreVeyon Henderson

TreVeyon Henderson

RB27NEvs BUF

Projected Points

Toss-Up

Pat Freiermuth’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
+128 / -164
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 27.5
-114 / -110
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+400
Anytime Touchdown Props →

TreVeyon Henderson’s market

RUSH YDS
O/U 38.5
-111 / -118
Rushing Yards Props →
REC
O/U 1.5
+116 / -148
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 7.5
-115 / -109
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+205
Anytime Touchdown Props →
PIT@
CLEThu, Oct 1, 8:15 PM ETView the game →
NE@
BUFSun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →

Why Pat Freiermuth

Sit

TE1 in pass-catching role. Reliable chain-mover with red-zone size and dependable hands.

Sit — bench-tier TE at consensus TE24: 13% target share, 8.1 PPR projected vs CLE.

  • CLE ranks 19 of 32 against TEs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 21.5 team points as 2.5-point favorites.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 66% snap share.

Why TreVeyon Henderson

Toss-Up

RB2 and explosive change-of-pace back. Home-run speed with pass-protection and receiving value.

Toss-up — RB27 consensus, projects RB32 this week: BUF is the 9th-softest matchup vs RBs, 2% target share.

  • BUF ranks 24 of 32 against RBs (one of the softer matchups, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 23.3 team points as 3.0-point underdogs.
  • Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 49% snap share.

Latest on Henderson

Injury Report Analysis: RB TreVeyon Henderson expected to play, CB Carlton Davis III officially questionable for Week 2 vs. Steelers

Henderson (ankle) is expected to return for the Patriots, but New England could be down its starting cornerback vs. the Steelers on Sunday.

patriots.com · Sep 18, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricPat FreiermuthTreVeyon Henderson
Projected points
Consensus rankTE24RB27
Opponent vs positionCLE · 19 of 323-game sampleBUF · 24 of 323-game sample
Receptions25 of 3229 of 32
Receiving Yards24 of 3231 of 32
Receiving TDs10 of 32—
Targets27 of 32—
Anytime TD9 of 3230 of 32
Rushing Yards—15 of 32
Rushing TDs—17 of 32
Rushing Attempts—19 of 32
Target share13%2%
Reception share16%3%
Implied total · spread21.5-2.523.3+3.0
Depth chartTE2RB2
Snap share66%49%

Recent form

Pat Freiermuth — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs CIN
Week 2vs NE
Week 1vs ATL

TreVeyon Henderson — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs JAX
Week 2vs PIT
Week 1vs SEADNP

Signal breakdown

  • 8.1 vs 9.5 projected PPR pointsTreVeyon Henderson +
  • Rank 24 vs 27Pat Freiermuth +
  • Opponent DvP rank 19 vs 24 (32 = softest)TreVeyon Henderson +
  • Implied 21.5 vs 23.3 team pointsTreVeyon Henderson +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 66% vs 49% snap sharePat Freiermuth +

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