Rams D/ST or Seahawks D/ST: Who Should You Start?
Preliminary board2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.
Start the Seahawks — the opponent giveaway and projection edges are too wide to ignore.
Seahawks D/ST faces the more giveaway-prone offense (3.0 sacks and 0.9 turnovers allowed per game to 1.8 and 1.3) and projects 7.4 to the Rams's 6.2. No signal favors the Rams this week. The gap is comfortable.
Rams D/ST
D/STLARvs SF
6.26.26.2 Projected Points
Sit
Seahawks D/ST
D/STSEAvs NE
7.47.47.4 Projected Points
Start
Why Rams D/ST
SitSit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 9): SF protects the ball (1.3 turnovers a game), and 6.2 pts projected vs SF.
- SF's offense gives up 1.8 sacks and 1.3 turnovers a game (2025), below league average.
- Vegas has SF at 22.8 points as 3-point dogs.
- Over-started: 90% of leagues have them in, 3rd among defenses, against a No. 9 matchup.
Why Seahawks D/ST
StartStart — the No. 4 defensive matchup this week: 7.4 pts projected vs NE.
- NE's offense gives up 3.0 sacks and 0.9 turnovers a game (2025), near league average.
- Vegas has NE at 20.5 points as 3.5-point dogs.
- Over-started: 92% of leagues have them in, 1st among defenses, against a No. 4 matchup.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Rams D/ST | Seahawks D/ST |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 6.26.26.2 | 7.47.47.4 |
| Projection rank | Proj.DST9 | Proj.DST4 |
| Started in | 90% of leagues | 92% of leagues |
| Opponent sacks allowed / game | 1.8(2025) | 3.0(2025) |
| Opponent turnovers / game | 1.3(2025) | 0.9(2025) |
| Opponent implied total | 22.8 | 20.5 |
| Home / away | Home | Home |
Signal breakdown
- 6.2 vs 7.4 projected PPR pointsSeahawks D/ST +
- Started rank 3 vs 1 (90% vs 92% of leagues)Seahawks D/ST +
- 1.8 sacks / 1.3 TO vs 3.0 sacks / 0.9 TO per game allowedSeahawks D/ST +
- Opponent implied 22.8 vs 20.5 pointsSeahawks D/ST +
- Home vs Homeeven
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This week’s toughest calls
- K. WilliamsKyren WilliamsRBLARvs SF
C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs DAL
- C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs DALJ. PriceJadarian PriceRBSEAvs NE
- J. PriceJadarian PriceRBSEAvs NED. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs BUF
- D. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs BUFM. LloydMarShawn LloydRBGBvs MIN
- M. LloydMarShawn LloydRBGBvs MINJ. WarrenJaylen WarrenRBPITvs ATL
- J. WarrenJaylen WarrenRBPITvs ATLB. TutenBhayshul TutenRBJAXvs CLE
- T. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs TB
J. WilliamsJameson WilliamsWRDETvs NO
- J. WilliamsJameson WilliamsWRDETvs NOD. MooreDJ MooreWRBUFvs HOU
- D. MooreDJ MooreWRBUFvs HOUC. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs MIN
- C. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs MINP. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CLE
- P. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CLEM. GoldenMatthew GoldenWRGBvs MIN
- M. GoldenMatthew GoldenWRGBvs MINQ. JohnstonQuentin JohnstonWRLACvs ARI
- S. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs NO
D. GoedertDallas GoedertTEPHIvs WSH
- D. GoedertDallas GoedertTEPHIvs WSHK. Pitts Sr.Kyle Pitts Sr.TEATLvs PIT
- K. Pitts Sr.Kyle Pitts Sr.TEATLvs PITT. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs DEN
- T. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs DENM. AndrewsMark AndrewsTEBALvs IND
- M. AndrewsMark AndrewsTEBALvs INDJ. FergusonJake FergusonTEDALvs NYG
- J. FergusonJake FergusonTEDALvs NYGI. LikelyIsaiah LikelyTENYGvs DAL
- J. DanielsJayden DanielsQBWSHvs PHI
M. StaffordMatthew StaffordQBLARvs SF
- M. StaffordMatthew StaffordQBLARvs SFD. PrescottDak PrescottQBDALvs NYG
- D. PrescottDak PrescottQBDALvs NYGT. LawrenceTrevor LawrenceQBJAXvs CLE
- T. LawrenceTrevor LawrenceQBJAXvs CLEC. WilliamsCaleb WilliamsQBCHIvs CAR
- C. WilliamsCaleb WilliamsQBCHIvs CARD. MayeDrake MayeQBNEvs SEA
- D. MayeDrake MayeQBNEvs SEAK. MurrayKyler MurrayQBMINvs GB
- C. DickerCameron DickerKLACvs ARI
E. PineiroEddy PineiroKSFvs LAR
- E. PineiroEddy PineiroKSFvs LARE. McPhersonEvan McPhersonKCINvs TB
- E. McPhersonEvan McPhersonKCINvs TBT. LoopTyler LoopKBALvs IND
- T. LoopTyler LoopKBALvs INDW. ReichardWill ReichardKMINvs GB
- W. ReichardWill ReichardKMINvs GBH. ButkerHarrison ButkerKKCvs DEN
- H. ButkerHarrison ButkerKKCvs DENC. McLaughlinChase McLaughlinKTBvs CIN
- Jaguars D/STJaguars D/STDSTJAXvs CLE
Chargers D/STChargers D/STDSTLACvs ARI
- Chargers D/STChargers D/STDSTLACvs ARITitans D/STTitans D/STDSTTENvs NYJ
- Titans D/STTitans D/STDSTTENvs NYJJets D/STJets D/STDSTNYJvs TEN
- Jets D/STJets D/STDSTNYJvs TENEagles D/STEagles D/STDSTPHIvs WSH
- Eagles D/STEagles D/STDSTPHIvs WSHBears D/STBears D/STDSTCHIvs CAR
- Bears D/STBears D/STDSTCHIvs CARPackers D/STPackers D/STDSTGBvs MIN
- J. PriceJadarian PriceRBSEAvs NET. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs TB
- T. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs TBB. TutenBhayshul TutenRBJAXvs CLE
- B. IrvingBucky IrvingRBTBvs CIN
J. WilliamsJameson WilliamsWRDETvs NO - D. MooreDJ MooreWRBUFvs HOUT. PollardTony PollardRBTENvs NYJ
- T. PollardTony PollardRBTENvs NYJS. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs NO
- S. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs NOC. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs MIN
- M. GoldenMatthew GoldenWRGBvs MIND. GoedertDallas GoedertTEPHIvs WSH
- D. GoedertDallas GoedertTEPHIvs WSHK. GainwellKenny GainwellRBTBvs CIN
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