Ka'imi Fairbairn or Tyler Loop: Who Should You Start?

The call

• Consensus K4 at 9.8 projected points, with 2.1 made field goals of 2.4 attempts plus 2.3 extra points — volume on both scoring paths.
• A 24.5 implied team total plus 1.8 red-zone stalls per game means the offense both moves the ball and hands him drives that die inside the 20.
• 92% accuracy (44/48) with a 57-yard long and 50-plus makes in six games means the long tries convert too.
• Retractable roof with a calm forecast either way removes weather from the equation, and he's the locked PK1 with no injury designation.

The call

• Baltimore's 27.0 implied total and -7.5 spread point to a high-volume scoring day: 2.1 projected attempts plus 2.8 extra points is a healthy blended floor at 9.1 points.
• His own offense stalls in the red zone 1.9 times per game, which is exactly the profile that converts drives into kicker points rather than touchdowns.
• Role is unambiguous — PK1 with no designation, and the Ravens cut Moody after his opener, so there is no competition for the job.
• Only real drag is the 10 mph wind under an open roof, mild enough not to move the needle on a kicker hitting 88% (30/34) with a 52-yard long.