Juwan Johnson or Kyren Williams: Who Should You Start?

The call

• Role is secure — 69% snap share as the No. 1 TE and no injury designation after the Week 2 illness cleared, so volume isn't in question.
• The 13% target share is modest for a position that lives on volume, and the 9.2-point projection lands him at TE16, just outside the 12-team starter line.
• Game script is fine: 23.0 implied total as a 3.5-point favorite means a normal, competitive script rather than a pass-heavy comeback or a run-out-the-clock blowout.
• The DvP composite ranks this defense 11 of 32 against tight ends, but it's a 2-game sample at 0.00 confidence — if the target share ticks up toward 18-20%, he's a clear start; as is, he's a coin flip against a similar TE2.

The call

• Consensus RB16 at 13.0 projected PPR points puts him in RB2/flex range in a 12-team league. On rank alone he clears a typical replacement back.
• Script is friendly: the Rams are 3-point favorites with a 24.3 implied total. That should mean positive game flow and goal-line chances.
• The role is the problem. Reports say he has nearly split carries evenly with Corum through two weeks. A 60% snap share and 9% target share limit his PPR ceiling.
• DEN rates 22 of 32 vs RBs, slightly soft, but that rests on a 2-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so it barely matters. Start him if your alternative is a low-volume flex; sit him for any back with a clear lead role.