Justice Hill or RJ Harvey: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Harvey’s receiving role outweighs Hill’s friendlier scoring script

Start Harvey: Hill gets the better team environment, but his 4% target share leaves him relying heavily on rushing chances. Harvey’s 19% target share gives him a more valuable PPR role, and the projection gap matters despite both being change-of-pace backs rather than clear lead options. Harvey’s recent concussion evaluation is the call’s real risk (NBC Sports 2026-09-27); Hill’s path is Baltimore’s favorable scoring script producing enough work to overcome his limited receiving involvement.

What flips it: A renewed concussion-related limitation for Harvey before kickoff.

Sources: NBC Sports · Sep 27, 2026

AI editor

Justice Hill

Justice Hill

RB51BALvs TEN

Projected Points

Sit
RJ Harvey

RJ Harvey

RB38DENvs SF

Projected Points

Toss-Up· low

Justice Hill’s market

ATD
Anytime TD
+600
Anytime Touchdown Props →

RJ Harvey’s market

RUSH YDS
O/U 15.5
-114 / -114
Rushing Yards Props →
REC
O/U 3.5
-106 / -121
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 21.5
-116 / -108
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+220
Anytime Touchdown Props →
TEN@
BALSun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →
DEN@
SFSun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ETView the game →

Why Justice Hill

Sit

Change-of-pace RB2 and passing-down back. Receiving chops and pass protection in third-down packages.

Sit — bench-tier RB at consensus RB51: 4% target share, 5.4 PPR projected vs TEN.

  • Baltimore’s favorable game script gives Hill a path to more rushing opportunities.
  • His passing-down role offers a route to useful third-down work, though not lead-back volume.

Why RJ Harvey

Toss-Up· low

RB2 and passing-down complement. Explosive change-of-pace back with strong receiving production and red-zone scoring.

RB38 at 10.2 projected with a 19% target share, but only a 44% snap share and a neutral SF matchup (18 of 32) keep him a flex coin-flip.

  • Harvey’s receiving role gives him a stronger PPR floor than Hill’s limited target involvement.
  • The recent concussion evaluation is worth monitoring even though he has no current designation.

The call

  • Role is split: a 44% snap share over 2 games caps his rushing volume. The 19% target share is a real PPR floor for a back, though, and keeps him flex-viable.
  • Matchup is middling. SF ranks 18 of 32 vs RBs, but on a 3-game sample with 0.25 confidence, so it barely moves the needle either way.
  • Game script is neutral: a 22.0 implied team total and a 2.5 spread point to a competitive game, which doesn't strongly favor or erase his receiving role.
  • Risk: NBC Sports reported he was evaluated for a concussion in Week 3 vs the Rams. He carries no designation now, but confirm he's active before lock. A full practice week and clean status tips him to a PPR flex start; any setback makes him a sit.

Latest on Harvey

Role

RJ Harvey was evaluated for a concussion during Week 3 game versus the Rams on September 27.

NBC Sports · Sep 27, 2026
Injury Report: RBs RJ Harvey and J.K. Dobbins not assigned game statuses, RB Jonah Coleman ruled out for Week 3 game vs. Rams

The Broncos are set to regain a key player on offense.

denverbroncos.com · Sep 25, 2026
Injury Report: RBs J.K. Dobbins, RJ Harvey improve to full practice participants Thursday ahead of Week 3 game vs. Rams

A pair of Broncos running backs have improved to full practice participants ahead of Week 3.

denverbroncos.com · Sep 24, 2026
Broncos RB Coleman doesn't practice; Dobbins, Harvey limited

Broncos running backs J.K. Dobbins and RJ Harvey were limited in practice Wednesday, and Jonah Coleman did not practice. Nevertheless, coach Sean Payton said he thinks "we're going to be all right" at the position Sunday against the Rams.

ESPN · Sep 24, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricJustice HillRJ Harvey
Projected points
Consensus rankRB51RB38
Opponent vs positionTEN · 17 of 323-game sampleSF · 18 of 323-game sample
Rushing Yards25 of 3219 of 32
Rushing TDs17 of 328 of 32
Rushing Attempts31 of 3223 of 32
Receptions6 of 3228 of 32
Receiving Yards9 of 3217 of 32
Anytime TD13 of 3213 of 32
Target share4%19%
Reception share6%27%
Implied total · spread28.0-8.522.0+2.5
Depth chartRB2RB2
Snap share42%44%
Start/Sit record—0–0+2 toss-ups

Recent form

Justice Hill — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs DAL
Week 2vs NO
Week 1vs IND

RJ Harvey — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs LAR
Week 2vs JAXDNP
Week 1vs KC

Signal breakdown

  • 5.4 vs 10.1 projected PPR pointsRJ Harvey +
  • Rank 51 vs 38RJ Harvey +
  • Opponent DvP rank 17 vs 18 (32 = softest)RJ Harvey +
  • Implied 28.0 vs 22.0 team pointsJustice Hill +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 42% vs 44% snap shareRJ Harvey +

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