Jordan Addison or T.J. Hockenson: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Too close to call — the edges cancel out.
Jordan Addison and T.J. Hockenson grade out even this week. Addison's best edge is the projection (11.6 to 8.1), Hockenson's best edge is the consensus rank (TE18 to WR46) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.
Jordan Addison
7.89.711.6 Projected Points
T.J. Hockenson
4.56.38.1 Projected Points
Jordan Addison’s market
T.J. Hockenson’s market
Why Jordan Addison
Start· mediumWR2 and vertical field-stretcher. Slight-framed separator with deep-ball tracking and red-zone production.
90% snaps and a 24% target share on a 25.5-point implied total outweigh a tough-looking but thin 3-game DvP sample; ranks WR46.
- MIA ranks 5 of 32 against WRs (one of the tougher matchups, 3-game sample).
- Vegas implies 25.5 team points as 7.5-point favorites.
- Listed WR-2 on the latest depth chart with a 90% snap share.
The call
- Role is locked in: WR-2 with a 90% snap share and a 24% target share over 3 games is weekly-starter usage in PPR.
- Game environment is strong: Minnesota's 25.5 implied total and a -7.5 spread point to a productive offense with plenty of scoring chances.
- The matchup grades tough (5 of 32 vs WRs), but that rests on a 3-game sample at 0.25 confidence, so it shouldn't drive the call.
- Risks: the WR46 rank and 11.6-point projection make him a flex-tier start rather than a lock. A heavy lead could also tilt late snaps toward the run. The ankle report is dated 2026-09-24 and refers to the Packers game, but he carries no designation this week.
Latest on Addison
Jordan Addison (ankle) expected to be available for Week 4 game vs. Green Bay Packers.
Minnesota Vikings · Sep 24, 2026Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why T.J. Hockenson
SitTE1 and primary middle-of-field target. Route-savvy seam threat with high-volume usage when healthy.
Sit — TE18 consensus, projects TE21 this week: 19% target share, 8.1 PPR projected vs MIA.
- MIA ranks 17 of 32 against TEs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 3-game sample).
- Vegas implies 25.5 team points as 7.5-point favorites.
- Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 73% snap share.
Latest on Hockenson
Loza shares facts to help you decide whether to start players you might feel are borderline in Week 3.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Jordan Addison | T.J. Hockenson |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 7.89.711.6 | 4.56.38.1 |
| Consensus rank | WR46 | TE18 |
| Opponent vs position | MIA · 5 of 323-game sample | MIA · 17 of 323-game sample |
| Receptions | 9 of 32 | 16 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 8 of 32 | 28 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | 3 of 32 | 18 of 32 |
| Targets | 1 of 32 | 6 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 3 of 32 | 18 of 32 |
| Target share | 24% | 19% |
| Reception share | 17% | 22% |
| Implied total · spread | 25.5-7.5 | 25.5-7.5 |
| Depth chart | WR2 | TE1 |
| Snap share | 90% | 73% |
| Start/Sit record | 0–0+1 toss-up | 1–0 |
Recent form
Jordan Addison — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs TB | 15.017.520.0 |
| Week 2 | vs CHI | 2.13.14.1 |
| Week 1 | vs GB | 0.00.00.0 |
T.J. Hockenson — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs TB | 1.12.13.1 |
| Week 2 | vs CHI | 2.94.45.9 |
| Week 1 | vs GB | 9.611.613.6 |
Signal breakdown
- 11.6 vs 8.1 projected PPR pointsJordan Addison +
- Rank 46 vs 18T.J. Hockenson +
- Opponent DvP rank 5 vs 17 (32 = softest)T.J. Hockenson +
- Implied 25.5 vs 25.5 team pointseven
- No injury designationseven
- 90% vs 73% snap shareJordan Addison +
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