Jordan Addison or Rhamondre Stevenson: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 3 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start Stevenson — the consensus rank and projection edges are too wide to ignore.

Rhamondre Stevenson is the higher consensus play (RB26 to WR46) and projects 12.0 to Addison's 10.6. Addison's edge is snap share, 90% to 61%. The gap is comfortable.

Jordan Addison

Jordan Addison

WR46MINvs TB

Projected Points

Toss-Up
Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB26NEvs JAX

Projected Points

Toss-Up· low

Jordan Addison’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
+129 / -165
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 36.5
-110 / -114
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+300
Anytime Touchdown Props →

Rhamondre Stevenson’s market

RUSH YDS
O/U 34.5
-111 / -118
Rushing Yards Props →
REC
O/U 2.5
-102 / -125
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 14.5
-118 / -107
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+135
Anytime Touchdown Props →
MIN@
TBSun, Sep 27, 4:05 PM ETView the game →
NE@
JAXSun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETView the game →

Why Jordan Addison

Toss-Up

WR2 and vertical field-stretcher. Slight-framed separator with deep-ball tracking and red-zone production.

Toss-up — WR46 consensus, projects WR45 this week: TB is the 7th-toughest matchup vs WRs, 24% target share.

  • TB ranks 7 of 32 against WRs (one of the tougher matchups, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 21.5 team points as 1.5-point underdogs.
  • Listed WR-2 on the latest depth chart with a 90% snap share.

Latest on Addison

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Rhamondre Stevenson

Toss-Up· low

RB1 and lead back. Physical between-the-tackles runner with reliable receiving-game involvement.

RB26 at 12.0 projected with a 61% snap share, but Henderson's Week 2 return re-split the backfield; neutral JAX matchup (13th) doesn't tip it.

  • JAX ranks 13 of 32 against RBs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 2-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 22.0 team points as 1.5-point underdogs.
  • Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 61% snap share.

The call

  • Role is the swing factor: Stevenson played 84.5% of snaps as the lead back with Henderson out in Week 1, then Henderson's return split the workload again, so the 61% two-game snap share overstates his current share.
  • The 15% target share keeps a PPR floor, and the 12.0 projection at RB26 sits right on the flex/RB2 borderline in 12-team leagues.
  • The matchup is neutral: JAX ranks 13 of 32 in the DvP composite, and on a 2-game sample with 0.00 confidence it offers no real edge either way.
  • Game script is roughly even with a 22.0 implied total and a 1.5 spread, so no script-driven volume boost. Start him over a flex option projected under about 11 points; bench him for a clear lead back.

Latest on Stevenson

Role

With Henderson out in Week 1, Stevenson played 60 of 71 offensive snaps (84.5%), serving as the clear lead back before Henderson's Week 2 return split the backfield workload again.

Patriots.com · Sep 20, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricJordan AddisonRhamondre Stevenson
Projected points
Consensus rankWR46RB26
Opponent vs positionTB · 7 of 323-game sampleJAX · 13 of 322-game sample
Receptions5 of 3224 of 32
Receiving Yards7 of 3226 of 32
Receiving TDs7 of 32—
Targets2 of 32—
Anytime TD13 of 329 of 32
Rushing Yards—4 of 32
Rushing TDs—10 of 32
Rushing Attempts—4 of 32
Target share24%15%
Reception share17%16%
Implied total · spread21.5+1.522.0+1.5
Depth chartWR2RB1
Snap share90%61%
Start/Sit record0–0+1 toss-up1–1+1 toss-up

Recent form

Jordan Addison — last 2 weeks

Week 2vs CHI
Week 1vs GB

Rhamondre Stevenson — last 2 weeks

Week 2vs PIT
Week 1vs SEA

Signal breakdown

  • 10.6 vs 12.0 projected PPR pointsRhamondre Stevenson +
  • Rank 46 vs 26Rhamondre Stevenson +
  • Opponent DvP rank 7 vs 13 (32 = softest)Rhamondre Stevenson +
  • Implied 21.5 vs 22.0 team pointsRhamondre Stevenson +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 90% vs 61% snap shareJordan Addison +

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