Jordan Addison or MarShawn Lloyd: Who Should You Start?

The call

• The role is not the problem: 85% snap share and a 21% target share over 14 games make Addison a locked-in WR2 who gets fed regardless of script.
• The matchup is neutral at best — Green Bay grades 17 of 32 in the DvP composite, and that number carries a 0-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so there's no edge to bank on.
• A 21.5 implied team total with a 1.5-point spread points to a tight, moderate-scoring game — enough passing volume to matter, not enough to project a spike week.
• Tiebreaker: start him if your alternative is a sub-15% target-share flyer; sit him if you have a WR attached to a higher implied total or a genuinely soft coverage matchup.

The call

• The 12.9-point projection clears the bar for a 12-team PPR flex, and the matchup is middle-of-the-road at 13 of 32 vs the position — no reason to fear the Minnesota front here.
• A -1.5 spread and 23.0 implied total point to a tight, balanced script, which keeps the run game live in the second half rather than forcing pass-heavy catch-up work.
• The caution is role clarity: he's listed simply at RB with no designation, and the DvP read carries a 0-game sample at 0.00 confidence, so this is projection-driven rather than usage-proven.
• ESPN's Aug. 31 piece framing him as a strong short-term option supports the volume case; if a clear timeshare emerges against him during the week, he slides back to bench territory.