Jameson Williams or Mark Andrews: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 3 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Andrews' concentrated volume beats Williams' field-stretching upside

Start Andrews: Williams' heavy snap share has not brought comparable target volume, while Andrews is Baltimore's TE1 and a red-zone mismatch. Their near-identical projections make this a narrow call, but Andrews' 25% target share gives him a steadier path to points than Williams' deep-shot role. The risk is Andrews' lower snap share; if his high-value looks dry up, Williams can win on one explosive play.

What flips it: A sustained jump in Williams' target share that closes Andrews' volume edge.

AI editor

In standard and half-PPR scoring this is a coin flip.

Jameson Williams

Jameson Williams

WR26DETvs NYJ

Projected Points

Toss-Up
Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews

TE15BALvs DAL

Projected Points

Start· medium

Jameson Williams’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
-165 / +129
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 55.5
-114 / -110
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+165
Anytime Touchdown Props →

Mark Andrews’s market

ATD
Anytime TD
+140
Anytime Touchdown Props →
NYJ@
DETSun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETView the game →
BAL@
DALSun, Sep 27, 4:25 PM ETView the game →

Why Jameson Williams

Toss-Up

WR2 and primary vertical threat. Elite straight-line speed stretching the field on deep shots and jet motion.

Toss-up — WR26 consensus, projects WR42 this week: 27.5 implied team total, 17% target share.

  • Williams' WR2 role is built around vertical shots and jet motion, giving him big-play upside beyond routine target volume.
  • Detroit's scoring outlook can fuel those splash plays, though a large lead could curb late passing.

Latest on Williams

Can Goff, new-look Lions offense set aside disappointing 2025?

After tumbling from playoff contention last season, Detroit promises a team focused on the prize in 2026.

ESPN · Sep 11, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Mark Andrews

Start· medium

TE1 and red-zone mismatch. Veteran seam-stretcher with strong hands and quarterback rapport.

25% target share and a 27.0 implied team total make Andrews a weekly TE1 play despite the modest TE15 consensus tag.

  • Andrews' seam-stretching and strong hands make his target share especially valuable near the goal line.
  • Baltimore's modest spread lowers the chance that a late lead shuts down its passing game.

The call

  • A 25% target share on 72% of snaps is elite TE volume — he's the focal point of this passing game, not a rotational piece.
  • A 27.0 implied team total in a 2.5-point favorite spot means plenty of possessions and red-zone work, where Andrews has always paid off.
  • The Dallas matchup grades 20 of 32 (mildly favorable), though the 2-game sample carries no real confidence yet — treat it as neutral, not a boost.
  • Risk is the TE15 projection of 10.2: this is a volume-driven TD-or-bust profile, but no injury designation and a locked-in role beat any replacement-level TE.

Head-to-head stats

MetricJameson WilliamsMark Andrews
Projected points
Consensus rankWR26TE15
Opponent vs positionNYJ · 14 of 322-game sampleDAL · 20 of 322-game sample
Receptions14 of 3221 of 32
Receiving Yards3 of 3218 of 32
Receiving TDs15 of 3226 of 32
Targets22 of 3211 of 32
Anytime TD15 of 3226 of 32
Target share17%25%
Reception share12%26%
Implied total · spread27.5-9.527.0-2.5
Depth chartWR2TE1
Snap share91%72%
Start/Sit record0–21–1

Recent form

Jameson Williams — last 2 weeks

Week 2vs BUF
Week 1vs NO

Mark Andrews — last 2 weeks

Week 2vs NO
Week 1vs IND

Signal breakdown

  • 10.9 vs 10.2 projected PPR pointsJameson Williams +
  • Rank 26 vs 15Mark Andrews +
  • Opponent DvP rank 14 vs 20 (32 = softest)even
  • Implied 27.5 vs 27.0 team pointsJameson Williams +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 91% vs 72% snap shareJameson Williams +

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