Jake Ferguson or Rashod Bateman: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 2 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Ferguson’s role steadies the call, but Bateman’s upside keeps this level
Ferguson brings the safer structural case: Dallas expects more from its unquestioned TE1 after a Week 1 dud, and its scoring outlook supports his red-zone role. Bateman counters with a softer matchup and a path to expanded importance if Zay Flowers sits, but his WR2 role in a low-volume passing attack makes that upside contingent. Both are starts, with Ferguson’s role stability balancing Bateman’s greater opportunity swing.
What flips it: Zay Flowers being ruled out, elevating Bateman’s role with Lamar Jackson. (ESPN 2026-09-18)
Sources: ESPN · Sep 15, 2026 · ESPN · Sep 18, 2026
AI editor

Jake Ferguson
5.77.79.6 Projected Points

Rashod Bateman
7.18.710.3 Projected Points
Jake Ferguson’s market
Rashod Bateman’s market
Why Jake Ferguson
Start· mediumTE1 and high-volume receiving tight end. Reliable chain-mover and red-zone target over the middle.
TE12 with a 28.0-point implied team total and 76% snaps as Dallas' unquestioned No. 1 tight end — Week 1 dud was volume noise, not a role change.
- Week 1’s two-catch dud did not change Ferguson’s status as Dallas’ unquestioned No. 1 tight end. (ESPN 2026-09-15)
- His chain-moving and red-zone role fits Dallas’ strong scoring outlook better than his quiet debut suggests.
The call
- Dallas is projected for 28.0 implied points as a 4.5-point favorite, and Ferguson is the locked-in TE1 at a 76% snap share — that's a high-scoring offense funneling through a full-time player.
- The 7% target share is the one red flag, but it's a single-game sample off a two-catch, six-yard Week 1; ESPN (9/15) reports he remains the unquestioned No. 1 tight end and is expected to be more involved vs. Washington.
- Washington grades 20 of 32 in DvP composite vs tight ends — a mildly favorable draw, though it's a one-game sample with zero confidence, so the matchup neither makes nor breaks the call.
- At 9.6 projected points and a TE12 consensus rank, he clears the typical 12-team replacement TE comfortably; the floor is thin if the target share stays at 7%, but the role and game environment justify the start.
Latest on Ferguson
Jake Ferguson had a disappointing Week 1 with just two catches for six yards, but remains the unquestioned No. 1 tight end and is expected to be more involved in Week 2 against Washington.
ESPN · Sep 15, 2026Prescott needs four TDs to pass Tony Romo in the record book, so we sought the best moments from those who are helping him make history.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Rashod Bateman
StartStarting outside WR2. Smooth route runner and vertical/red-zone threat in a low-volume passing attack.
Start — projects WR40 this week: NO is the 9th-softest matchup vs WRs, 27.0 implied team total.
- Flowers’ uncertainty gives Bateman a credible route to becoming Baltimore’s most familiar wideout for Lamar Jackson. (ESPN 2026-09-18)
- His vertical and red-zone skill offers more spike-week potential, though the low-volume offense makes that path fragile.
Latest on Bateman
If Zay Flowers cannot play, Bateman would become Baltimore's wide receiver with the most familiarity with Lamar Jackson.
Ravens looking for Bateman to step up if Flowers can't playESPN, baltimoreravens.com, BaltimoreRavens.com · Sep 18, 2026Bateman is still awaiting the NFL's investigation outcome regarding his June arrest on family violence charges.
Ravens looking for Bateman to step up if Flowers can't playESPN · Sep 18, 2026Ravens receiver Zay Flowers is doubtful for Sunday's game vs. the Saints after he aggravated a left hamstring injury and missed the majority of practices this week.
Jamison Hensley explains why Rashod Bateman is the Ravens wide receiver to watch going into Week 2.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Jake Ferguson | Rashod Bateman |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 5.77.79.6 | 7.18.710.3 |
| Consensus rank | TE12 | — |
| Opponent vs position | WSH · 20 of 321-game sample | NO · 24 of 321-game sample |
| Receptions | 9 of 32 | 27 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 24 of 32 | 10 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | 30 of 32 | 25 of 32 |
| Targets | 6 of 32 | 31 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 30 of 32 | 25 of 32 |
| Target share | 7% | 4% |
| Reception share | 9% | 0% |
| Implied total · spread | 28.0-4.5 | 27.0-7.5 |
| Depth chart | TE1 | WR2 |
| Snap share | 76% | 78% |
| Start/Sit record | 0–1 | — |
Recent form
Jake Ferguson — last 1 week
| Week 1 | vs NYG | 0.61.62.6 |
Rashod Bateman — last 1 week
| Week 1 | vs IND | 0.00.00.0 |
Signal breakdown
- 9.6 vs 10.3 projected PPR pointsRashod Bateman +
- Consensus position rankeven
- Opponent DvP rank 20 vs 24 (32 = softest)even
- Implied 28.0 vs 27.0 team pointsJake Ferguson +
- No injury designationseven
- 76% vs 78% snap shareRashod Bateman +
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