Isaiah Likely or Rome Odunze: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 3 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Start Likely — the consensus rank and projection edges are too wide to ignore.
Isaiah Likely is the higher consensus play (TE14 to WR27) and projects 12.2 to Odunze's 10.3. Odunze's edge is snap share, 66% to 59%. The gap is comfortable.
Isaiah Likely
7.69.912.2 Projected Points
Rome Odunze
7.18.710.3 Projected Points
Isaiah Likely’s market
Rome Odunze’s market
Why Isaiah Likely
Start· mediumStarting TE and pass-catching mismatch. Athletic seam-stretcher with red-zone flex ability.
30% target share through 2 games and a 12.2-point projection make Likely a startable TE14 despite a tougher-looking DvP of 9 of 32.
- TEN ranks 9 of 32 against TEs (one of the tougher matchups, 2-game sample).
- Vegas implies 23.8 team points as 3.0-point favorites.
- Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 59% snap share.
The call
- Usage is the driver: a 30% target share is elite for a tight end, and it offsets a modest 59% snap share that would normally cap his floor.
- The matchup reads unfavorable at 9 of 32, but that composite rests on a 2-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so it shouldn't outweigh his role.
- Game script is supportive: a 23.8 implied team total as a 3-point favorite points to a functional offense with red-zone chances.
- The risk is volatility. Two games of target data can regress, and the part-time snap share leaves a thin floor if the looks dry up. At TE14 with 12.2 projected, he still clears typical streaming options.
Latest on Likely
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Rome Odunze
Toss-UpWR1 and primary outside X. Contested-catch winner with red-zone production and high target share.
Toss-up — WR27 consensus, projects WR50 this week: 24.0 implied team total, 13% target share.
- PHI ranks 12 of 32 against WRs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 2-game sample).
- Vegas implies 24.0 team points as 1.5-point favorites.
- Listed WR on the latest depth chart with a 66% snap share.
Latest on Odunze
Chicago Bears wide receiver Rome Odunze (calf) says he expects to play Sunday in the season opener at Carolina despite being listed as questionable on the final injury report.
The Bears listed four players as questionable for their Week 1 matchup in Charlotte Sunday, including receiver Rome Odunze. The third-year pro sustained a calf injury last week and was limited in each of the three practices this week.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Isaiah Likely | Rome Odunze |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 7.69.912.2 | 7.18.710.3 |
| Consensus rank | TE14 | WR27 |
| Opponent vs position | TEN · 9 of 322-game sample | PHI · 12 of 322-game sample |
| Receptions | 15 of 32 | 7 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 1 of 32 | 14 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | 1 of 32 | 15 of 32 |
| Targets | 16 of 32 | 7 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 13 of 32 | 15 of 32 |
| Target share | 30% | 13% |
| Reception share | 35% | 12% |
| Implied total · spread | 23.8-3.0 | 24.0-1.5 |
| Depth chart | TE1 | WR1 |
| Snap share | 59% | 66% |
| Start/Sit record | 1–1 | 0–1 |
Recent form
Isaiah Likely — last 2 weeks
| Week 2 | vs LAR | 3.35.88.3 |
| Week 1 | vs DAL | 19.823.827.8 |
Rome Odunze — last 2 weeks
| Week 2 | vs MIN | 4.35.87.3 |
| Week 1 | vs CAR | 5.26.27.2 |
Signal breakdown
- 12.2 vs 10.3 projected PPR pointsIsaiah Likely +
- Rank 14 vs 27Isaiah Likely +
- Opponent DvP rank 9 vs 12 (32 = softest)even
- Implied 23.8 vs 24.0 team pointsRome Odunze +
- No injury designationseven
- 59% vs 66% snap shareRome Odunze +
Compare different players
Every fantasy-relevant player this week — search or filter by position.
More Likely comparisons
More Odunze comparisons
This week’s toughest calls
- K. Walker IIIKenneth Walker IIIRBKCvs MIA
K. WilliamsKyren WilliamsRBLARvs DEN
- K. WilliamsKyren WilliamsRBLARvs DENQ. JudkinsQuinshon JudkinsRBCLEvs CAR
- Q. JudkinsQuinshon JudkinsRBCLEvs CARC. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs TEN
- C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs TEND. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs PHI
- D. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs PHIB. TutenBhayshul TutenRBJAXvs NE
- B. TutenBhayshul TutenRBJAXvs NEB. IrvingBucky IrvingRBTBvs MIN
- T. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs PIT
D. AdamsDavante AdamsWRLARvs DEN
- D. AdamsDavante AdamsWRLARvs DENM. EvansMike EvansWRSFvs ARI
- M. EvansMike EvansWRSFvs ARIC. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs ATL
- C. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs ATLP. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs NE
- P. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs NEM. GoldenMatthew GoldenWRGBvs ATL
- M. GoldenMatthew GoldenWRGBvs ATLQ. JohnstonQuentin JohnstonWRLACvs BUF
- K. Pitts Sr.Kyle Pitts Sr.TEATLvs GB
G. KittleGeorge KittleTESFvs ARI
- G. KittleGeorge KittleTESFvs ARIS. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs NYJ
- S. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs NYJT. KraftTucker KraftTEGBvs ATL
- T. KraftTucker KraftTEGBvs ATLT. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs MIA
- T. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs MIAJ. FergusonJake FergusonTEDALvs BAL
- J. FergusonJake FergusonTEDALvs BALI. LikelyIsaiah LikelyTENYGvs TEN
- D. PrescottDak PrescottQBDALvs BAL
J. HerbertJustin HerbertQBLACvs BUF
- J. HerbertJustin HerbertQBLACvs BUFT. LawrenceTrevor LawrenceQBJAXvs NE
- T. LawrenceTrevor LawrenceQBJAXvs NEB. PurdyBrock PurdyQBSFvs ARI
- B. PurdyBrock PurdyQBSFvs ARIP. MahomesPatrick MahomesQBKCvs MIA
- P. MahomesPatrick MahomesQBKCvs MIAB. NixBo NixQBDENvs LAR
- B. NixBo NixQBDENvs LARM. StaffordMatthew StaffordQBLARvs DEN
- E. PineiroEddy PineiroKSFvs ARI
J. BatesJake BatesKDETvs NYJ
- J. BatesJake BatesKDETvs NYJH. ButkerHarrison ButkerKKCvs MIA
- H. ButkerHarrison ButkerKKCvs MIAT. LoopTyler LoopKBALvs DAL
- T. LoopTyler LoopKBALvs DALC. BoswellChris BoswellKPITvs CIN
- C. BoswellChris BoswellKPITvs CINC. McLaughlinChase McLaughlinKTBvs MIN
- C. McLaughlinChase McLaughlinKTBvs MINT. SmackTrey SmackKGBvs ATL
- 49ers D/ST49ers D/STDSTSFvs ARI
Panthers D/STPanthers D/STDSTCARvs CLE
- Panthers D/STPanthers D/STDSTCARvs CLELions D/STLions D/STDSTDETvs NYJ
- Lions D/STLions D/STDSTDETvs NYJGiants D/STGiants D/STDSTNYGvs TEN
- Giants D/STGiants D/STDSTNYGvs TENSaints D/STSaints D/STDSTNOvs LV
- Saints D/STSaints D/STDSTNOvs LVBengals D/STBengals D/STDSTCINvs PIT
- Bengals D/STBengals D/STDSTCINvs PITTitans D/STTitans D/STDSTTENvs NYG
- B. IrvingBucky IrvingRBTBvs MINP. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs NE
- P. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs NEC. HubbardChuba HubbardRBCARvs CLE
- C. HubbardChuba HubbardRBCARvs CLEC. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs ATL
- C. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs ATLC. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs TEN
- C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs TENJ. CokerJalen CokerWRCARvs CLE
- D. AdamsDavante AdamsWRLARvs DENQ. JudkinsQuinshon JudkinsRBCLEvs CAR
- J. WarrenJaylen WarrenRBPITvs CIN
T. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs PIT - T. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs PITD. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs PHI
Get a Start/Sit call on your whole roster →
Save your team once and see a Start, Sit, or Toss-Up verdict on every player, every week — with the matchup, usage and game-script evidence behind each call.
Add to My Team — freeOr browse this week’s NFL games or NFL player props.