Hunter Henry or Mark Andrews: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 2 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Andrews' target dominance outweighs Henry's snap advantage

Mark Andrews gets the nod because his red-zone mismatch role and concentrated passing-game usage give him the stronger path to difference-making volume. Hunter Henry’s heavier snap role and in-line versatility offer a steadier floor, but his low target involvement is harder to overcome against Pittsburgh’s toughest tight-end matchup. The margin is modest, and both are viable starts; Andrews carries more week-winning upside, with the risk that his lighter snap footprint limits his routes.

What flips it: A surprise reduction in Andrews’ receiving role.

AI editor

Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry

TE18NEvs PIT

Projected Points

Start
Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews

TE15BALvs NO

Projected Points

Start· medium

Hunter Henry’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
+105 / -134
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 37.5
-115 / -109
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+220
Anytime Touchdown Props →

Mark Andrews’s market

REC
O/U 4.5
+114 / -148
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 48.5
-114 / -114
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+130
Anytime Touchdown Props →
PIT@
NESun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETView the game →
NO@
BALSun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETView the game →

Why Hunter Henry

Start

TE1 and volume pass-catcher. Dependable seam and red-zone target with in-line blocking chops.

Start — TE18 consensus, projects TE17 this week: PIT is the 1st-toughest matchup vs TEs, 24.0 implied team total.

  • Henry’s in-line role can preserve a usable floor if New England leans on tight ends near the goal line.
  • His snap advantage gives him a steadier route base than Andrews if the passing volume spreads out.

Why Mark Andrews

Start· medium

TE1 and red-zone mismatch. Veteran seam-stretcher with strong hands and quarterback rapport.

25% target share and 72% snaps in a 27-point implied offense — Andrews is a top-12 TE role even with a TE15 projection.

  • Andrews’ red-zone mismatch profile makes his concentrated targets more valuable than a typical TE15 ranking suggests.
  • Baltimore’s stronger scoring environment gives his quarterback rapport more chances to become touchdowns.

The call

  • A 25% target share is elite for the position; Andrews is the clear passing-game focal point at TE with a 72% snap share and no injury designation.
  • Baltimore's 27.0 implied total and -7.5 spread point to a high-scoring, red-zone-heavy script, which is exactly where Andrews cashes in on touchdowns.
  • The DvP composite of 12 of 32 reads mildly unfavorable, but it's a 1-game sample with 0.00 confidence — not enough to override the usage.
  • Risk is the 10.1 projection and TE15 label: if Baltimore builds a lead and leans run, the volume ceiling narrows to a 6-8 point day.

Head-to-head stats

MetricHunter HenryMark Andrews
Projected points
Consensus rankTE18TE15
Opponent vs positionPIT · 1 of 321-game sampleNO · 12 of 321-game sample
Receptions1 of 3218 of 32
Receiving Yards1 of 3217 of 32
Receiving TDs1 of 321 of 32
Targets1 of 3224 of 32
Anytime TD1 of 321 of 32
Target share10%25%
Reception share13%24%
Implied total · spread24.0-4.527.0-7.5
Depth chartTE1TE1
Snap share76%72%
Start/Sit record0–0+1 toss-up0–1

Recent form

Hunter Henry — last 1 week

Week 1vs SEA

Mark Andrews — last 1 week

Week 1vs IND

Signal breakdown

  • 9.4 vs 10.2 projected PPR pointsMark Andrews +
  • Rank 18 vs 15Mark Andrews +
  • Opponent DvP rank 1 vs 12 (32 = softest)even
  • Implied 24.0 vs 27.0 team pointsMark Andrews +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 76% vs 72% snap shareHunter Henry +

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