Devaughn Vele or Tucker Kraft: Who Should You Start?

The call

• Role is not in question: 94% snap share through two games with a 19% target share means he's on the field for everything as the WR-2, and that volume floor is what flex plays live on in PPR.
• The 11.5-point projection lands him in solid FLEX/WR3 territory — clearly above a typical replacement option in a 12-team league.
• The matchup grades tough (7 of 32 vs the position), but that composite comes off a 2-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so it's not reliable enough to bench a full-time receiver over.
• Game script is neutral-to-good: 23.0 implied team total as a 3.5-point favorite keeps the offense on schedule without forcing a pass-heavy blowout chase — the main risk is a run-out-the-clock win that caps his targets.

The call

• Role is locked in: 82% snap share over two games, and he played 58 of 59 snaps in Week 2 per Packers On SI. That kind of full-time usage is rare at tight end.
• Game environment is strong. Green Bay's 27.0 implied total and -7.5 spread point to plenty of scoring chances, which raises his touchdown equity.
• Matchup reads favorable at 24 of 32 on DvP, but it's a 2-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so it carries little weight.
• The risk is volume: a 13% target share and a 2-catch, 15-yard Week 2 with a fumble cap his floor. At 10.3 projected points and TE9, he still clears a typical replacement tight end.