David Montgomery or Drake London: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 3 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Start London — the consensus rank and projection edges are too wide to ignore.
Drake London is the higher consensus play (WR7 to RB22) and projects 15.4 to Montgomery's 12.0. Montgomery's edge is the game script, 23.5 implied points to 19.5. The gap is wide.
David Montgomery
10.411.212.0 Projected Points
Drake London
9.712.515.4 Projected Points
David Montgomery’s market
Drake London’s market
Why David Montgomery
Toss-Up· mediumRB1 and lead back. Powerful downhill runner with contact balance and reliable short-yardage/goal-line role.
Soft matchup (28th-toughest DvP) and RB22 projection, but a near-even split with Woody Marks at 51% snaps and 6% target share caps the ceiling.
- IND ranks 28 of 32 against RBs (one of the softer matchups, 2-game sample).
- Vegas implies 23.5 team points as 1.5-point favorites.
- Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 51% snap share.
The call
- The matchup is a plus: Indianapolis grades 28 of 32 in DvP composite, and Houston's 23.5 implied total with a -1.5 spread points to a neutral-to-favorable script for early-down volume.
- Role is the problem. Montgomery is at 51% of snaps with only 6% target share, and the Week 2 report has him just four snaps and two carries ahead of Woody Marks — that's a true committee, not a lead job.
- At 11.9 projected points and RB22, he's flex-level rather than a set-and-forget RB2; with a 6% target share his week likely hinges on a goal-line touchdown.
- Tipping factor: if Marks is limited or Houston controls the game as a favorite, Montgomery's early-down and short-yardage work makes him a comfortable start. If it's another even split, a higher-target replacement is the better PPR play.
Latest on Montgomery
After leading the backfield with 20 touches and most of the snaps in Week 1, David Montgomery's Week 2 workload evened out with Woody Marks, playing just 52% of offensive snaps (only four more than Marks) with only two more carries.
SI.com · Sep 21, 2026Houston scored its most points in a season opener since coach DeMeco Ryans took over.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Drake London
StartWR1 and primary target. Big-bodied X receiver who wins contested catches at the catch point with elite ball skills.
Start — every-week WR start at consensus WR7: 26% target share, 15.4 PPR projected vs GB.
- GB ranks 18 of 32 against WRs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 3-game sample).
- Vegas implies 19.5 team points as 7.5-point underdogs.
- Listed WR on the latest depth chart with a 84% snap share.
Latest on London
Drake London had 194 receiving yards in the Falcons' game against Green Bay.
Drake London, Bijan Robinson make history; a dominant run defense and more from Falcons' good night in Green Bayatlantafalcons.com, ESPN · Sep 25, 2026Odds, bets and analysis to help you bet Falcons-Packers on "Thursday Night Football."
Falcons wide receiver Drake London got into a verbal confrontation with someone in the crowd during his team's 34-3 loss to the Panthers on Sunday.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | David Montgomery | Drake London |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 10.411.212.0 | 9.712.515.4 |
| Consensus rank | RB22 | WR7 |
| Opponent vs position | IND · 28 of 322-game sample | GB · 18 of 323-game sample |
| Rushing Yards | 31 of 32 | — |
| Rushing TDs | 29 of 32 | — |
| Rushing Attempts | 30 of 32 | — |
| Receptions | 21 of 32 | 26 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 31 of 32 | 19 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 25 of 32 | 13 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | — | 14 of 32 |
| Targets | — | 16 of 32 |
| Target share | 6% | 26% |
| Reception share | 9% | 31% |
| Implied total · spread | 23.5-1.5 | 19.5+7.5 |
| Depth chart | RB1 | WR1 |
| Snap share | 51% | 84% |
| Start/Sit record | 0–1+2 toss-ups | — |
Recent form
David Montgomery — last 2 weeks
| Week 2 | vs CIN | 2.43.44.4 |
| Week 1 | vs BUF | 25.927.428.9 |
Drake London — last 2 weeks
| Week 2 | vs CAR | 4.96.98.9 |
| Week 1 | vs PIT | 3.54.55.5 |
Signal breakdown
- 12.0 vs 15.4 projected PPR pointsDrake London +
- Rank 22 vs 7Drake London +
- Opponent DvP rank 28 vs 18 (32 = softest)Drake London +
- Implied 23.5 vs 19.5 team pointsDavid Montgomery +
- No injury designationseven
- 51% vs 84% snap shareDrake London +
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