Davante Adams or Isaiah Likely: Who Should You Start?

The call

• Role is intact: 22% target share as the WR-2 in a Rams offense with a 28.5 implied team total, the kind of volume-plus-scoring-chance combo you start at WR2/flex.
• Matchup is neutral, not scary — Giants sit 16 of 32 in DvP composite, so nothing about the defense caps his ceiling.
• Week 1 was ugly (3 of 6 for 26 yards, long of 13) and the 54% snap share is the real concern; if that number doesn't climb he's a volume-dependent WR3.
• Rams favored by 8.5 raises late-game run-script risk, but a 28.5 implied total means plenty of red-zone looks before the clock-killing starts.

The call

• Week 1 usage is the whole case: a 28% target share with all eight targets caught for two scores, plus 17 slot snaps taken over from another starter, is TE1-level involvement no matter the 49% snap rate.
• The 8.5-point spread and 20.0 implied total point to a chase script — more dropbacks, more underneath and seam work for the guy who is now the de facto slot option.
• The DvP composite reads 7 of 32 (tough), but it's a one-game sample at 0.00 confidence, so it shouldn't outweigh a locked-in target role.
• Risk is the sub-50% snap share: if the offense stays in heavier personnel or the game hangs close, volume could dip toward the TE14 projection rather than beat it.