Daniel Carlson or Nick Folk: Who Should You Start?

Carlson's dome and stalls edge out Folk's sharper accuracy in a true coin flip

Neither kicker separates on volume: both project into two field-goal tries and identical K21 consensus rank, so this comes down to what surrounds the number. Carlson's Saints stall in the red zone more often, which means more field-goal tries rather than touchdowns, and he does it in a dome with zero weather variance. Folk counters with a far cleaner accuracy season and more 50-plus makes, so if this game breaks toward distance kicks he's the safer bet — but Atlanta's tighter spread and lower stall rate mean he needs volume to show up rather than being handed it. The real edge for Carlson is systemic (red zone plus roof), while Folk's edge is about a kicker who simply hasn't missed much this year.

What flips it: A bad-weather forecast materializing for Folk's open-roof game tilts this clearly to Carlson.

Sources: ESPN · Aug 24, 2026

AI editor

Head-to-head stats

Signal breakdown

• 7.7 vs 7.8 projected PPR pointsNick Folk +
• Rank 21 vs 21even
• 2.1 vs 2.0 projected attemptsDaniel Carlson +
• 1.5 vs 1.2 red-zone stalls per gameDaniel Carlson +
• Kicking weathereven
• Implied 20.8 vs 19.8 team pointsDaniel Carlson +
• No injury designationseven

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Week 1244 players

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Player A

K · Daniel Carlson

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Player B

K · Nick Folk

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