Andy Borregales or Daniel Carlson: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Kicker Coin Flip: Borregales’ Red-Zone Edge vs Carlson’s Dome Certainty
Both kickers sit at the same consensus tier, and the numbers behind them cancel each other out almost perfectly. Borregales' offense stalls red-zone drives a touch more often, which should hand him a few extra kicks, but his projected attempts actually trail Carlson's, and Foxborough's open roof still has no firm forecast attached. Carlson gets to work in a dome with zero weather variance and plays behind an offense favored by a much larger spread, the kind of game script that tends to keep drives alive into scoring range rather than forcing early field-goal tries. Neither has an injury concern, so this comes down to which team's scoring path you trust more this week, not who the better kicker is.
What flips it: A weather downgrade at Gillette that shrinks New England's scoring range would tip this toward Carlson.
Sources: ESPN · Aug 24, 2026
AI editor

Andy Borregales
6.96.96.9 Projected Points

Daniel Carlson
7.77.77.7 Projected Points
Why Andy Borregales
SitStarting K with strong leg. Accurate placekicker handling all field-goal duties.
Sit — K21 by consensus, projects K32 this week: 1.6 red-zone stalls a game, and 6.9 pts projected vs SEA.
- More red-zone stalls for his offense means more field-goal tries instead of touchdowns, a real plus for a kicker.
- Playing outdoors leaves this pick sensitive to whatever the Gillette weather ends up being on game day.
Why Daniel Carlson
Toss-UpVeteran placekicker with big-leg range. Established accuracy over a long starting run.
Toss-up — K21 by consensus, projects K23 this week: kicks indoors, and 1.5 red-zone stalls a game.
- A much bigger spread favors his offense controlling the game, which usually means more scoring chances overall.
- Indoors with no weather risk removes any late-week variance from his floor.
Latest on Carlson
The Saints are signing free agent kicker Daniel Carlson, his agents told The NFL Network's Mike Garafolo and Ian Rapoport.
ESPN · Aug 24, 2026
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Andy Borregales | Daniel Carlson |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 6.96.96.9 | 7.77.77.7 |
| Consensus rank | K21 | K21 |
| Projected FG attempts | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| Red-zone stalls / game | 1.6(2025) | 1.5(2025) |
| Kicking conditions | — | Indoors, no weather risk |
| Implied total · spread | 20.5+3.5 | 20.8+7.0 |
| Field-goal % | 84.4%(2025) | 81.5%(2025) |
| Depth chart | K1 | K1 |
Signal breakdown
- 6.9 vs 7.7 projected PPR pointsDaniel Carlson +
- Rank 21 vs 21Daniel Carlson +
- 1.8 vs 2.1 projected attemptsDaniel Carlson +
- 1.6 vs 1.5 red-zone stalls per gameAndy Borregales +
- Kicking weathereven
- Implied 20.5 vs 20.8 team pointsDaniel Carlson +
- No injury designationseven
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