Andy Borregales or Daniel Carlson: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Kicker Coin Flip: Borregales’ Red-Zone Edge vs Carlson’s Dome Certainty

Both kickers sit at the same consensus tier, and the numbers behind them cancel each other out almost perfectly. Borregales' offense stalls red-zone drives a touch more often, which should hand him a few extra kicks, but his projected attempts actually trail Carlson's, and Foxborough's open roof still has no firm forecast attached. Carlson gets to work in a dome with zero weather variance and plays behind an offense favored by a much larger spread, the kind of game script that tends to keep drives alive into scoring range rather than forcing early field-goal tries. Neither has an injury concern, so this comes down to which team's scoring path you trust more this week, not who the better kicker is.

What flips it: A weather downgrade at Gillette that shrinks New England's scoring range would tip this toward Carlson.

Sources: ESPN · Aug 24, 2026

AI editor

Andy Borregales

Andy Borregales

K21NEvs SEA

Projected Points

Sit
Daniel Carlson

Daniel Carlson

K21NOvs DET

Projected Points

Toss-Up

Why Andy Borregales

Sit

Starting K with strong leg. Accurate placekicker handling all field-goal duties.

Sit — K21 by consensus, projects K32 this week: 1.6 red-zone stalls a game, and 6.9 pts projected vs SEA.

  • More red-zone stalls for his offense means more field-goal tries instead of touchdowns, a real plus for a kicker.
  • Playing outdoors leaves this pick sensitive to whatever the Gillette weather ends up being on game day.

Why Daniel Carlson

Toss-Up

Veteran placekicker with big-leg range. Established accuracy over a long starting run.

Toss-up — K21 by consensus, projects K23 this week: kicks indoors, and 1.5 red-zone stalls a game.

  • A much bigger spread favors his offense controlling the game, which usually means more scoring chances overall.
  • Indoors with no weather risk removes any late-week variance from his floor.

Latest on Carlson

Saints to sign two-time All-Pro kicker Daniel Carlson

The Saints are signing free agent kicker Daniel Carlson, his agents told The NFL Network's Mike Garafolo and Ian Rapoport.

ESPN · Aug 24, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricAndy BorregalesDaniel Carlson
Projected points
Consensus rankK21K21
Projected FG attempts1.82.1
Red-zone stalls / game1.6(2025)1.5(2025)
Kicking conditionsIndoors, no weather risk
Implied total · spread20.5+3.520.8+7.0
Field-goal %84.4%(2025)81.5%(2025)
Depth chartK1K1

Signal breakdown

  • 6.9 vs 7.7 projected PPR pointsDaniel Carlson +
  • Rank 21 vs 21Daniel Carlson +
  • 1.8 vs 2.1 projected attemptsDaniel Carlson +
  • 1.6 vs 1.5 red-zone stalls per gameAndy Borregales +
  • Kicking weathereven
  • Implied 20.5 vs 20.8 team pointsDaniel Carlson +
  • No injury designationseven

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