Dalton Schultz or Luther Burden III: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 3 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start Schultz — the consensus rank and snap share edges are too wide to ignore.

Dalton Schultz is the higher consensus play (TE21 to WR27) and plays a 67% snap share to Burden's 65%. Burden's edge is the projection, 11.2 to 11.0. The gap is narrow.

In standard scoring this is a coin flip.

Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz

TE21HOUvs IND

Projected Points

Start· low
Luther Burden III

Luther Burden III

WR27CHIvs PHI

Projected Points

Toss-Up

Dalton Schultz’s market

REC
O/U 5.5
+111 / -141
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 48.5
-113 / -113
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+220
Anytime Touchdown Props →

Luther Burden III’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
-109 / -117
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 36.5
-112 / -112
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+425
Anytime Touchdown Props →
HOU@
INDSun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETView the game →
PHI@
CHIMon, Sep 28, 8:15 PM ETView the game →

Why Dalton Schultz

Start· low

TE1 in high-volume pass-catching role. Reliable chain-mover over the middle with sure hands.

  • IND ranks 23 of 32 against TEs (one of the softer matchups, 2-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 23.5 team points as 1.5-point favorites.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 67% snap share.

The call

Latest on Schultz

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Luther Burden III

Toss-Up

WR2 and outside starter opposite Rome Odunze. Explosive yards-after-catch threat with manufactured-touch usage.

Toss-up — WR27 consensus, projects WR37 this week: PHI is the 10th-toughest matchup vs WRs, 24.0 implied team total.

  • PHI ranks 10 of 32 against WRs (one of the tougher matchups, 2-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 24.0 team points as 1.5-point favorites.
  • Listed WR-2 on the latest depth chart with a 65% snap share.

Head-to-head stats

MetricDalton SchultzLuther Burden III
Projected points
Consensus rankTE21WR27
Opponent vs positionIND · 23 of 322-game samplePHI · 10 of 322-game sample
Receptions29 of 326 of 32
Receiving Yards29 of 3213 of 32
Receiving TDs15 of 3214 of 32
Targets29 of 324 of 32
Anytime TD13 of 3213 of 32
Target share25%21%
Reception share29%20%
Implied total · spread23.5-1.524.0-1.5
Depth chartTE1WR2
Snap share67%65%
Start/Sit record—0–1

Recent form

Dalton Schultz — last 2 weeks

Week 2vs CIN
Week 1vs BUF

Luther Burden III — last 2 weeks

Week 2vs MIN
Week 1vs CAR

Signal breakdown

  • 11.0 vs 11.2 projected PPR pointsLuther Burden III +
  • Rank 21 vs 27Dalton Schultz +
  • Opponent DvP rank 23 vs 10 (32 = softest)even
  • Implied 23.5 vs 24.0 team pointsLuther Burden III +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 67% vs 65% snap shareDalton Schultz +

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