Dalton Kincaid or Jeremiyah Love: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 3 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Too close to call — the edges cancel out.
Dalton Kincaid and Jeremiyah Love grade out even this week. Kincaid's best edge is the game script (25.8 implied points to 17.5), Love's best edge is the consensus rank (RB11 to TE16) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.
Dalton Kincaid
7.29.411.6 Projected Points
Jeremiyah Love
9.611.212.8 Projected Points
Dalton Kincaid’s market
Jeremiyah Love’s market
Why Dalton Kincaid
Start· mediumTE1 in pass-catching role. Move tight end and seam mismatch, more receiver than blocker.
25% target share and a 25.8 implied team total make Kincaid a TE1-viable start despite a neutral LAC matchup (21 of 32).
- LAC ranks 21 of 32 against TEs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 2-game sample).
- Vegas implies 25.8 team points as 3.0-point favorites.
- Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 69% snap share.
The call
- Usage is the driver: a 25% target share and 69% snap share through 2 games is elite volume for a tight end. CBS notes he led Buffalo with 8 targets, 7 catches and 95 yards plus a TD in Week 2.
- Game environment is strong. Buffalo's 25.8 implied total and a -3.0 spread point to a productive, balanced script with scoring chances around the red zone.
- The matchup is neutral at 21 of 32, but that DvP rests on a 2-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so it shouldn't outweigh his role.
- The TE16 consensus rank and 11.6 projection are the main caution. The fantasy market may be lagging his early usage, and he carries no injury designation, so he clears a typical streamer.
Latest on Kincaid
Kincaid led the Bills in targets (8), receptions (7) and receiving yards (95) in Week 2 and caught a touchdown, establishing him as a primary target for Josh Allen regardless of Moore's status.
CBS Sports · Sep 19, 2026Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Jeremiyah Love
SitRookie RB in a committee backfield. Explosive big-play back with breakaway speed and pass-game receiving upside.
Sit — RB11 consensus, projects RB23 this week: 17.5 implied team total caps the ceiling, 11% target share.
- SF ranks 18 of 32 against RBs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 3-game sample).
- Vegas implies 17.5 team points as 11.5-point underdogs.
- Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 49% snap share.
Latest on Love
Love played more snaps than Tyler Allgeier, with 52 snaps to Allgeier’s 30.
'Getting Back To My Old Self': Jeremiyah Love Finds His Grooveazcardinals.com, ESPN · Sep 28, 2026Josh Weinfuss on Cardinals rookie RB Jeremiyah Love's adjustment to the NFL.
Josh Weinfuss reports on how Jeremiyah Love can adapt to pace of the NFL ahead of Week 2.
LaFleur reiterates how rookie running back fits into plan
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Dalton Kincaid | Jeremiyah Love |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 7.29.411.6 | 9.611.212.8 |
| Consensus rank | TE16 | RB11 |
| Opponent vs position | LAC · 21 of 322-game sample | SF · 18 of 323-game sample |
| Receptions | 26 of 32 | 28 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 27 of 32 | 17 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | 15 of 32 | — |
| Targets | 26 of 32 | — |
| Anytime TD | 13 of 32 | 13 of 32 |
| Rushing Yards | — | 18 of 32 |
| Rushing TDs | — | 8 of 32 |
| Rushing Attempts | — | 23 of 32 |
| Target share | 25% | 11% |
| Reception share | 30% | 12% |
| Implied total · spread | 25.8-3.0 | 17.5+11.5 |
| Depth chart | TE1 | RB1 |
| Snap share | 69% | 49% |
| Start/Sit record | 1–0+1 toss-up | — |
Recent form
Dalton Kincaid — last 2 weeks
| Week 2 | vs DET | 15.519.022.5 |
| Week 1 | vs HOU | 13.015.518.0 |
Jeremiyah Love — last 2 weeks
| Week 2 | vs SEA | 4.56.07.5 |
| Week 1 | vs LAC | 11.012.013.0 |
Signal breakdown
- 11.6 vs 12.8 projected PPR pointsJeremiyah Love +
- Rank 16 vs 11Jeremiyah Love +
- Opponent DvP rank 21 vs 18 (32 = softest)Jeremiyah Love +
- Implied 25.8 vs 17.5 team pointsDalton Kincaid +
- No injury designationseven
- 69% vs 49% snap shareDalton Kincaid +
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