Dalton Kincaid or Jalen Coker: Who Should You Start?

The call

• Role is locked in: 42 of 58 snaps (about 75%) in Week 1 and a 21% target share, a sharp jump from his 26.8%-38% snap share in 2025 per Bills On SI.
• Buffalo's 27.8 implied total as a 3-point favorite means volume of scoring plays and red-zone looks for a tight end who's now a featured pass-catcher.
• Detroit grades 29 of 32 in DvP vs tight ends, though that's a 1-game sample with 0.00 confidence — treat it as a mild tailwind, not the main case.
• Risk is target concentration: 9.8 projected points and TE16 consensus reflect that Buffalo spreads the ball, so a quiet 3-target game is on the table.

The call

• Week 1 usage was real: 8 catches, 138 yards, 2 TDs on 9 targets with a 27% target share and 84% snap share, edging McMillan's 82% in the Panthers' top two-receiver look.
• The 12.0-point projection is flex-viable in 12-team PPR despite the WR51 consensus rank, which still reflects preseason pecking order rather than his current role.
• Risk is real: he's Questionable with an ankle issue, and Atlanta grades 10 of 32 in DvP composite (tougher half) on a 1-game, zero-confidence sample. Confirm he's active pregame; if he's downgraded, pivot to a healthy flex.
• Neutral game script helps — 21.5 implied total and a 1.5-point spread means no run-out-the-clock shutdown of the passing game.