Dalton Kincaid or Harold Fannin Jr.: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 2 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Kincaid brings the better offense; Fannin brings the steadier role

Kincaid's pass-catching role sits in the far better scoring environment, giving him more touchdown and drive upside despite Fannin's stronger consensus standing. Fannin counters with the more established workload, but Cleveland's lower implied total can squeeze the ceiling of that volume. Kincaid's role jump is encouraging—Joe Brady credited him with opening the run game (SI.com (Bills On SI) 2026-09-15)—yet it remains a one-game sample. The call stays level: Kincaid has the better path to a splash week, while Fannin's snap foundation protects him from disappearing.

What flips it: A late limitation on Kincaid’s expanded role.

Sources: SI.com (Bills On SI) · Sep 15, 2026

AI editor

Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid

TE16BUFvs DET

Projected Points

Start· medium
Harold Fannin Jr.

Harold Fannin Jr.

TE5CLEvs TB

Projected Points

Sit

Dalton Kincaid’s market

REC
O/U 4.5
+122 / -157
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 50.5
-135 / +100
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+170
Anytime Touchdown Props →

Harold Fannin Jr.’s market

REC
O/U 4.5
+129 / -165
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 35.5
-109 / -115
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+380
Anytime Touchdown Props →
DET@
BUFThu, Sep 17, 8:15 PM ETView the game →
CLE@
TBSun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETView the game →

Why Dalton Kincaid

Start· medium

TE1 in pass-catching role. Move tight end and seam mismatch, more receiver than blocker.

21% target share on a 72% snap workload in a 27.8-point implied offense, plus a bottom-four DvP matchup — Kincaid is a clear TE1 play.

  • His move-tight-end role can convert Buffalo’s strong scoring outlook into seam and red-zone opportunities.
  • The risk is role recency: his expanded workload has only one game of evidence.

The call

  • Role is locked in: 42 of 58 snaps (about 75%) in Week 1 and a 21% target share, a sharp jump from his 26.8%-38% snap share in 2025 per Bills On SI.
  • Buffalo's 27.8 implied total as a 3-point favorite means volume of scoring plays and red-zone looks for a tight end who's now a featured pass-catcher.
  • Detroit grades 29 of 32 in DvP vs tight ends, though that's a 1-game sample with 0.00 confidence — treat it as a mild tailwind, not the main case.
  • Risk is target concentration: 9.8 projected points and TE16 consensus reflect that Buffalo spreads the ball, so a quiet 3-target game is on the table.

Latest on Kincaid

Role

Kincaid led Buffalo's tight ends in Week 1 with 42 of 58 offensive snaps (about 75%), a sharp jump from his 26.8%-38% snap share in 2025, as Joe Brady credited him for opening up the run game and other pass-catchers.

SI.com (Bills On SI) · Sep 15, 2026

Why Harold Fannin Jr.

Sit

TE1 and high-volume receiving target. Move tight end and mismatch chess piece with YAC ability.

Sit — TE5 consensus, projects TE13 this week: TB is the 7th-softest matchup vs TEs, 18.5 implied team total caps the ceiling.

  • Fannin’s broader on-field presence gives his weekly floor more support than his target share alone suggests.
  • His receiving versatility can overcome a modest team total if Cleveland sustains drives.

Head-to-head stats

MetricDalton KincaidHarold Fannin Jr.
Projected points
Consensus rankTE16TE5
Opponent vs positionDET · 29 of 321-game sampleTB · 26 of 321-game sample
Receptions26 of 3230 of 32
Receiving Yards26 of 3230 of 32
Receiving TDs30 of 3221 of 32
Targets32 of 3229 of 32
Anytime TD30 of 3220 of 32
Target share21%14%
Reception share25%13%
Implied total · spread27.8-3.018.5+5.5
Depth chartTE1TE1
Snap share72%82%
Start/Sit record0–0+1 toss-up—

Recent form

Dalton Kincaid — last 1 week

Week 1vs HOU

Harold Fannin Jr. — last 1 week

Week 1vs JAX

Signal breakdown

  • 9.8 vs 10.1 projected PPR pointsHarold Fannin Jr. +
  • Rank 16 vs 5Harold Fannin Jr. +
  • Opponent DvP rank 29 vs 26 (32 = softest)even
  • Implied 27.8 vs 18.5 team pointsDalton Kincaid +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 72% vs 82% snap shareHarold Fannin Jr. +

Compare different players

Week 2223 players
Player A
vs
Player B

Every fantasy-relevant player this week — search or filter by position.

More Kincaid comparisons

More Fannin comparisons

This week’s toughest calls

Start/Sit Board•Weekly Rankings•Streamers•Sleepers & Busts•Waiver Wire•My Team•MLB NRFI Board•Free Tools•NFL Props•NFL Games

Get a Start/Sit call on your whole roster →

Save your team once and see a Start, Sit, or Toss-Up verdict on every player, every week — with the matchup, usage and game-script evidence behind each call.

Add to My Team — free

Or browse this week’s NFL games or NFL player props.