Dallas Goedert or Luther Burden III: Who Should You Start?

The call

• Role is airtight: 95% snap share and a 23% target share mean he's a genuine focal point in this passing game, not a rotational piece.
• Recent production backs the usage — four catches for 77 yards and two touchdowns, with the Eagles featuring him near the goal line.
• The 23.5 implied total and -4.5 spread point to a positive, controlled script where Philadelphia keeps throwing in scoring range.
• Only real drag is the matchup: Tennessee grades 12 of 32 vs tight ends, and it's a one-game sample with zero confidence, so treat the DvP as noise rather than a reason to bench a TE12 with this role.

The call

• Minnesota grades 29 of 32 in defense-vs-WR composite, though it's a one-game sample — the softness is a tiebreaker, not the whole case.
• Role is the real driver: 73% snap share and a 19% target share as the WR-2, and he out-targeted Rome Odunze in Week 1 (5 catches on 5 targets, 63 yards).
• Chicago is favored by 3.5 with a 24.5 implied total — enough scoring environment to support a full route tree without a run-heavy blowout script.
• Risk is the thin body of work: one game of usage data, and Odunze can reclaim volume any week, which caps this at a flex-level start rather than a lock.