Courtland Sutton or Jordan Addison: Who Should You Start?

The call

• Role is locked in: 85% snap share and 21% target share over 17 games — he sees the ball regardless of the WR-2 label on the depth chart.
• The matchup grade (10 of 32) reads tough but comes off a 0-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so it shouldn't override a proven usage profile.
• A 20.0 implied total and 2.5-point spread point to a competitive game; if Denver trails, the target volume only goes up in a pass-first script.
• Risk is efficiency, not opportunity — 11.7 projected points is flex-caliber, and WR31 is inside the startable range in a 12-team PPR lineup.

The call

• The role is not the problem: 85% snap share and a 21% target share over 14 games make Addison a locked-in WR2 who gets fed regardless of script.
• The matchup is neutral at best — Green Bay grades 17 of 32 in the DvP composite, and that number carries a 0-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so there's no edge to bank on.
• A 21.5 implied team total with a 1.5-point spread points to a tight, moderate-scoring game — enough passing volume to matter, not enough to project a spike week.
• Tiebreaker: start him if your alternative is a sub-15% target-share flyer; sit him if you have a WR attached to a higher implied total or a genuinely soft coverage matchup.