Chris Godwin Jr. or Mark Andrews: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 3 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Start Andrews — the consensus rank and projection edges are too wide to ignore.
Mark Andrews is the higher consensus play (TE15 to WR42) and projects 10.2 to Godwin's 8.8. Godwin's edge is snap share, 78% to 72%. The gap is comfortable.
Chris Godwin Jr.
WR42TBvs MIN
5.47.18.8 Projected Points
Toss-Up
Mark Andrews
TE15BALvs DAL
6.48.310.2 Projected Points
Start· medium
Chris Godwin Jr.’s market
Mark Andrews’s market
Why Chris Godwin Jr.
Toss-UpStarting WR with slot-to-boundary versatility. Physical route runner and YAC producer; recent seasons shortened by injury.
Toss-up — WR42 consensus, projects WR57 this week: 12% target share, 8.8 PPR projected vs MIN.
- MIN ranks 21 of 32 against WRs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 3-game sample).
- Vegas implies 23.0 team points as 1.5-point favorites.
- Listed WR-2 on the latest depth chart with a 78% snap share.
Latest on Godwin
Role
Through two games, Godwin has just seven catches for 86 scoreless yards, and in Week 2 his three targets were only a 8.8% share on 34 Mayfield attempts, though his 37 routes run were nearly tied with Egbuka for the team lead.
CBS Sports · Sep 20, 2026Why Mark Andrews
Start· mediumTE1 and red-zone mismatch. Veteran seam-stretcher with strong hands and quarterback rapport.
25% target share and 72% snaps in a 27.0-point implied offense make Andrews a viable TE1 fringe start at TE15 despite a neutral DAL matchup.
- DAL ranks 21 of 32 against TEs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 2-game sample).
- Vegas implies 27.0 team points as 2.5-point favorites.
- Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 72% snap share.
The call
- Usage is the driver: a 25% target share over 2 games is elite for a tight end, and his 72% snap share locks him into the base role.
- Game environment helps. A 27.0 implied team total with a -2.5 spread points to a competitive, scoring-friendly script with red-zone chances.
- The matchup is neutral at best. DAL ranks 21 of 32 in the DvP composite, but that rests on a 2-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so it shouldn't move the call much either way.
- Risk: the 10.2 projection and TE15 rank put him in streamer territory, and the 2-game usage sample could regress. He still clears a typical replacement TE, and no injury designation removes availability concerns.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Chris Godwin Jr. | Mark Andrews |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 5.47.18.8 | 6.48.310.2 |
| Consensus rank | WR42 | TE15 |
| Opponent vs position | MIN · 21 of 323-game sample | DAL · 21 of 322-game sample |
| Receptions | 22 of 32 | 21 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 25 of 32 | 19 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | 15 of 32 | 26 of 32 |
| Targets | 30 of 32 | 11 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 14 of 32 | 26 of 32 |
| Target share | 12% | 25% |
| Reception share | 16% | 26% |
| Implied total · spread | 23.0-1.5 | 27.0-2.5 |
| Depth chart | WR2 | TE1 |
| Snap share | 78% | 72% |
| Start/Sit record | 0–0+2 toss-ups | 1–2 |
Recent form
Chris Godwin Jr. — last 2 weeks
| Week 2 | vs CLE | 5.87.38.8 |
| Week 1 | vs CIN | 4.36.38.3 |
Mark Andrews — last 2 weeks
| Week 2 | vs NO | 4.97.910.9 |
| Week 1 | vs IND | 4.96.98.9 |
Signal breakdown
- 8.8 vs 10.2 projected PPR pointsMark Andrews +
- Rank 42 vs 15Mark Andrews +
- Opponent DvP rank 21 vs 21 (32 = softest)Chris Godwin Jr. +
- Implied 23.0 vs 27.0 team pointsMark Andrews +
- No injury designationseven
- 78% vs 72% snap shareChris Godwin Jr. +
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