Chris Godwin Jr. or Justice Hill: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 3 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Godwin's routes give him the edge over Hill's change-of-pace role
Godwin's near-every-down WR-2 role gives him a sturdier path to volume than Hill's change-of-pace work, though the model's edge is narrow. His routes have nearly matched Egbuka's, but sparse targets and scoreless production show the risk is opportunity without payoff (CBS Sports 2026-09-20). Hill has the better scoring environment and a useful passing-down niche, yet his split role leaves too many ways for his touches to disappear. Godwin is the modest preference, not a strong play: poor target conversion can wipe out his snap advantage.
What flips it: A larger passing-down workload for Hill that turns his niche into steady touches.
Sources: CBS Sports · Sep 20, 2026
AI editor
Chris Godwin Jr.
5.47.18.8 Projected Points
Justice Hill
4.75.76.7 Projected Points
Chris Godwin Jr.’s market
Justice Hill’s market
Why Chris Godwin Jr.
Toss-UpStarting WR with slot-to-boundary versatility. Physical route runner and YAC producer; recent seasons shortened by injury.
Toss-up — WR42 consensus, projects WR57 this week: MIN is the 10th-softest matchup vs WRs, 12% target share.
- Slot-to-boundary versatility gives Godwin routes across formations rather than a narrow alignment-dependent path.
- His route volume is encouraging, but it has not yet become dependable target volume (CBS Sports 2026-09-20).
Latest on Godwin
Through two games, Godwin has just seven catches for 86 scoreless yards, and in Week 2 his three targets were only a 8.8% share on 34 Mayfield attempts, though his 37 routes run were nearly tied with Egbuka for the team lead.
CBS Sports · Sep 20, 2026Why Justice Hill
SitChange-of-pace RB2 and passing-down back. Receiving chops and pass protection in third-down packages.
Sit — bench-tier RB at consensus RB51: 27.0 implied team total, 6% target share.
- Hill's receiving chops and pass protection keep him involved in third-down packages.
- Baltimore's stronger scoring setup gives Hill a path to value if his change-of-pace role expands.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Chris Godwin Jr. | Justice Hill |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 5.47.18.8 | 4.75.76.7 |
| Consensus rank | WR42 | RB51 |
| Opponent vs position | MIN · 23 of 322-game sample | DAL · 20 of 322-game sample |
| Receptions | 26 of 32 | 24 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 27 of 32 | 21 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | 15 of 32 | — |
| Targets | 31 of 32 | — |
| Anytime TD | 15 of 32 | 18 of 32 |
| Rushing Yards | — | 26 of 32 |
| Rushing TDs | — | 10 of 32 |
| Rushing Attempts | — | 21 of 32 |
| Target share | 12% | 6% |
| Reception share | 16% | 8% |
| Implied total · spread | 23.0-1.5 | 27.0-2.5 |
| Depth chart | WR2 | RB2 |
| Snap share | 86% | 47% |
| Start/Sit record | 0–0+2 toss-ups | — |
Recent form
Chris Godwin Jr. — last 2 weeks
| Week 2 | vs CLE | 5.87.38.8 |
| Week 1 | vs CIN | 4.36.38.3 |
Justice Hill — last 2 weeks
| Week 2 | vs NO | 1.82.83.8 |
| Week 1 | vs IND | 2.83.33.8 |
Signal breakdown
- 8.8 vs 6.7 projected PPR pointsChris Godwin Jr. +
- Rank 42 vs 51Chris Godwin Jr. +
- Opponent DvP rank 23 vs 20 (32 = softest)even
- Implied 23.0 vs 27.0 team pointsJustice Hill +
- No injury designationseven
- 86% vs 47% snap shareChris Godwin Jr. +
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