Chris Godwin Jr. or Dalton Schultz: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 3 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start Schultz — the consensus rank and projection edges are too wide to ignore.

Dalton Schultz is the higher consensus play (TE21 to WR42) and projects 11.0 to Godwin's 8.8. Godwin's edge is snap share, 86% to 67%. The gap is comfortable.

Chris Godwin Jr.

Chris Godwin Jr.

WR42TBvs MIN

Projected Points

Toss-Up
Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz

TE21HOUvs IND

Projected Points

Start· medium

Chris Godwin Jr.’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
+115 / -146
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 35.5
-109 / -115
Receiving Yards Props →

Dalton Schultz’s market

REC
O/U 5.5
-104 / -123
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 51.5
-110 / -114
Receiving Yards Props →

Why Chris Godwin Jr.

Toss-Up

Starting WR with slot-to-boundary versatility. Physical route runner and YAC producer; recent seasons shortened by injury.

Toss-up — WR42 consensus, projects WR57 this week: MIN is the 10th-softest matchup vs WRs, 12% target share.

  • MIN ranks 23 of 32 against WRs (one of the softer matchups, 2-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 23.0 team points as 1.5-point favorites.
  • Listed WR-2 on the latest depth chart with a 86% snap share.

Latest on Godwin

Role

Through two games, Godwin has just seven catches for 86 scoreless yards, and in Week 2 his three targets were only a 8.8% share on 34 Mayfield attempts, though his 37 routes run were nearly tied with Egbuka for the team lead.

CBS Sports · Sep 20, 2026

Why Dalton Schultz

Start· medium

TE1 in high-volume pass-catching role. Reliable chain-mover over the middle with sure hands.

25% target share over 2 games and 11.0 projected PPR points make Schultz a viable TE21 play in a 23.5-point implied total vs IND.

  • IND ranks 23 of 32 against TEs (one of the softer matchups, 2-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 23.5 team points as 1.5-point favorites.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 67% snap share.

The call

  • Usage is the driver: a 25% target share on a 67% snap share is strong volume for a tight end, and targets are what score in PPR.
  • 11.0 projected PPR points at TE21 sits near the replacement line in 12-team leagues, but the target share gives him a steadier floor than most streamers in that range.
  • The DvP composite of 23 of 32 leans soft, but it rests on a 2-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so don't lean on it. Game script is neutral: a 23.5 implied total and a -1.5 spread.
  • Risk: the ESPN headline about Field Yates being hesitant is unverified and gives no specifics. Schultz has no injury designation, so it doesn't override the model's start-lean.

Latest on Schultz

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricChris Godwin Jr.Dalton Schultz
Projected points
Consensus rankWR42TE21
Opponent vs positionMIN · 23 of 322-game sampleIND · 23 of 322-game sample
Receptions26 of 3229 of 32
Receiving Yards27 of 3229 of 32
Receiving TDs15 of 3215 of 32
Targets31 of 3229 of 32
Anytime TD15 of 3213 of 32
Target share12%25%
Reception share16%29%
Implied total · spread23.0-1.523.5-1.5
Depth chartWR2TE1
Snap share86%67%
Start/Sit record0–0+2 toss-ups—

Recent form

Chris Godwin Jr. — last 2 weeks

Week 2vs CLE
Week 1vs CIN

Dalton Schultz — last 2 weeks

Week 2vs CIN
Week 1vs BUF

Signal breakdown

  • 8.8 vs 11.0 projected PPR pointsDalton Schultz +
  • Rank 42 vs 21Dalton Schultz +
  • Opponent DvP rank 23 vs 23 (32 = softest)even
  • Implied 23.0 vs 23.5 team pointsDalton Schultz +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 86% vs 67% snap shareChris Godwin Jr. +

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