Carson Wentz or Daniel Jones: Who Should You Start?

The call

• The matchup grades on the friendly side of neutral at 22 of 32 vs the position, but it's a 1-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so there's no real edge to bank on.
• Wentz is the listed QB with no injury designation, so volume is locked in — the issue is how much scoring comes with it.
• A 21.0 implied team total is the red flag: that's a low-scoring projection, and QBs on offenses pegged for three touchdowns rarely clear 20 fantasy points without a rushing score.
• The 3.5-point spread should force plenty of throws late; if you need a one-week plug and your alternative is under 16 points, Wentz is fine — if you have a QB attached to a 24-plus implied total, sit him.

The call

• 14.0 projected points and a QB20 consensus rank put Jones below the 12-team starting line; you can find a better one-week arm on waivers.
• The matchup grades 6 of 32 vs the position (tough end of the scale), and a 20.5 implied team total caps the ceiling even if volume comes in a catch-up script.
• As a 6.5-point underdog, the passing volume is there, but Colts.com noted he completed just 2 of 5 play-action passes for 15 yards on seven dropbacks in his first game back from a torn Achilles — efficiency, not attempts, is the problem.
• Tipping point: he's a viable bye-week plug if the KC game turns into a shootout, but not a lineup lock with a full bench of alternatives.