Cam Skattebo or DJ Moore: Who Should You Start?

The call

• Consensus has him RB18 at 13.7 projected points; in a 12-team PPR that clears the bar for an RB2/flex slot over a replacement-level back.
• The 13% target share is the separator — pass-game work insulates him if the Giants trail, and a 1.5-point spread means neither team runs away with it.
• A 23.5 implied team total is respectable, and the DvP composite (22 of 32, softest end) at worst doesn't scare you — though it carries a 0-game sample and zero confidence, so it's not part of the case.
• Main risk is the 52% snap share: he's not a bell-cow, so ceiling is capped and a script that gets away from New York would cut into carries.

The call

• Volume case is thin for a confident start — 85% snap share means he's on the field, but a 16% target share over 17 games is low-end WR3 usage, and 11.6 projected points is exactly replacement-level flex output.
• Game script helps: a 1.5-point spread with a 23.5 implied team total means a competitive, two-way game with no reason to expect the offense to stall out or go run-heavy in a blowout.
• Matchup grades tough on paper (7 of 32, where 32 is softest), but the composite is built on a 0-game sample at 0.00 confidence, so it shouldn't be the deciding input either way.
• Tipping point: if he's confirmed as the clear No. 1 target in his new offense after the trade to Buffalo, start him as a WR3; if the target share stays near 16% behind another alpha, a higher-volume flex is the better play.