Bills D/ST or Raiders D/ST: Who Should You Start?
Preliminary board2026 Week 2 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.
Bills-Raiders is decided by venue versus a better takeaway matchup
The Bills get the nod at home against a slightly lower implied score, while the Raiders face the more giveaway-prone offense and project for more pressure. Those advantages offset each other almost completely, and the projection gap is too small to create meaningful separation for two low-end units. Both are sits, but Buffalo is the marginally safer choice because home field and the friendlier scoring environment reduce the damage if Detroit avoids turnovers.
What flips it: A late shift toward a lower Chargers implied total would move the Raiders ahead.
AI editor
Bills D/ST
3.53.53.5 Projected Points
Raiders D/ST
3.83.83.8 Projected Points
Why Bills D/ST
SitSit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 27): Vegas has DET at 24.8 points, and 3.5 pts projected vs DET.
- Home field gives Buffalo a steadier floor in an otherwise unfavorable matchup.
- Detroit's lower implied total leaves slightly more room for a usable defensive result.
Why Raiders D/ST
SitSit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 25): LAC gives up 3.8 sacks and 1.2 turnovers a game, and Vegas has them at 25.5 points.
- The Chargers' sack and turnover rate creates the clearer path to splash plays.
- Las Vegas has recent momentum, but its road setting and higher opponent total cap the upside.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Bills D/ST | Raiders D/ST |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 3.53.53.5 | 3.83.83.8 |
| Projection rank | Proj.DST27 | Proj.DST25 |
| Started in | 3% of leagues | 1% of leagues |
| Opponent sacks allowed / game | 3.0(2025) | 3.8(2025) |
| Opponent turnovers / game | 0.9(2025) | 1.2(2025) |
| Opponent implied total | 24.8 | 25.5 |
| Home / away | Home | Away |
| Start/Sit record | — | 0–0+1 toss-up |
Recent form
Bills D/ST — last 1 week
| Week 1 | vs HOU | 5.05.05.0 |
Raiders D/ST — last 1 week
| Week 1 | vs MIA | 14.014.014.0 |
Signal breakdown
- 3.5 vs 3.8 projected PPR pointsRaiders D/ST +
- Started rank 23 vs 24 (3% vs 1% of leagues)Bills D/ST +
- 3.0 sacks / 0.9 TO vs 3.8 sacks / 1.2 TO per game allowedRaiders D/ST +
- Opponent implied 24.8 vs 25.5 pointsBills D/ST +
- Home vs AwayBills D/ST +
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