Brenton Strange or Rhamondre Stevenson: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 3 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Too close to call — the edges cancel out.

Brenton Strange and Rhamondre Stevenson grade out even this week. Strange's best edge is the consensus rank (TE19 to RB26), Stevenson's best edge is the projection (12.0 to 7.9) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

Brenton Strange

Brenton Strange

TE19JAXvs NE

Projected Points

Sit
Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB26NEvs JAX

Projected Points

Toss-Up· low

Brenton Strange’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
+136 / -174
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 25.5
-135 / +100
Receiving Yards Props →

Rhamondre Stevenson’s market

RUSH YDS
O/U 37.5
-115 / -109
Rushing Yards Props →
REC
O/U 2.5
+104 / -133
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 14.5
-107 / -117
Receiving Yards Props →

Why Brenton Strange

Sit

Starting TE and ascending pass-catcher. Athletic seam target with adequate in-line blocking.

Sit — bench-tier TE at consensus TE19: NE is the 3rd-toughest matchup vs TEs, 10% target share.

  • NE ranks 3 of 32 against TEs (one of the tougher matchups, 2-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 23.5 team points as 1.5-point favorites.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 76% snap share.

Why Rhamondre Stevenson

Toss-Up· low

RB1 and lead back. Physical between-the-tackles runner with reliable receiving-game involvement.

RB26 at 12.0 projected points with Henderson back splitting work; the 61% snap share and 15% target share keep him flex-viable but not a lock.

  • JAX ranks 12 of 32 against RBs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 2-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 22.0 team points as 1.5-point underdogs.
  • Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 61% snap share.

The call

  • Role is the swing factor: Patriots.com reports he played 60 of 71 snaps (84.5%) in Week 1 with Henderson out, but Henderson's Week 2 return split the backfield again. The 61% two-game snap share overstates his ongoing role.
  • His 15% target share gives him a real PPR floor in a committee, and the 12.0 projection sits right at the RB2/flex border at RB26.
  • The matchup is neutral at best. JAX ranks 12 of 32 in DvP, on the tougher side, but it rests on a 2-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so it shouldn't move the call much.
  • Game script is middling: a 22.0 implied total and a 1.5 spread point to a competitive game that shouldn't squeeze out either back. Start him over a thin flex option; sit him if you have a locked-in lead back or a high-target WR3.

Latest on Stevenson

Role

With Henderson out in Week 1, Stevenson played 60 of 71 offensive snaps (84.5%), serving as the clear lead back before Henderson's Week 2 return split the backfield workload again.

Patriots.com · Sep 20, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricBrenton StrangeRhamondre Stevenson
Projected points
Consensus rankTE19RB26
Opponent vs positionNE · 3 of 322-game sampleJAX · 12 of 322-game sample
Receptions4 of 3224 of 32
Receiving Yards4 of 3226 of 32
Receiving TDs1 of 32—
Targets3 of 32—
Anytime TD1 of 328 of 32
Rushing Yards—3 of 32
Rushing TDs—10 of 32
Rushing Attempts—3 of 32
Target share10%15%
Reception share11%16%
Implied total · spread23.5-1.522.0+1.5
Depth chartTE1RB1
Snap share76%61%
Start/Sit record—1–1+1 toss-up

Recent form

Brenton Strange — last 2 weeks

Week 2vs DEN
Week 1vs CLE

Rhamondre Stevenson — last 2 weeks

Week 2vs PIT
Week 1vs SEA

Signal breakdown

  • 7.9 vs 12.0 projected PPR pointsRhamondre Stevenson +
  • Rank 19 vs 26Brenton Strange +
  • Opponent DvP rank 3 vs 12 (32 = softest)even
  • Implied 23.5 vs 22.0 team pointsBrenton Strange +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 76% vs 61% snap shareBrenton Strange +

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