Brenton Strange or Michael Wilson: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 3 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Too close to call — the edges cancel out.

Brenton Strange and Michael Wilson grade out even this week. Strange's best edge is the consensus rank (TE19 to WR37), Wilson's best edge is the projection (11.3 to 7.9) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

In standard and half-PPR scoring this flips to Strange.

Brenton Strange

Brenton Strange

TE19JAXvs NE

Projected Points

Sit
Michael Wilson

Michael Wilson

WR37ARIvs SF

Projected Points

Toss-Up

Brenton Strange’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
+137 / -176
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 29.5
-115 / -115
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+285
Anytime Touchdown Props →

Michael Wilson’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
-162 / +126
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 44.5
-113 / -113
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+275
Anytime Touchdown Props →
NE@
JAXSun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETView the game →
ARI@
SFSun, Sep 27, 4:05 PM ETView the game →

Why Brenton Strange

Sit

Starting TE and ascending pass-catcher. Athletic seam target with adequate in-line blocking.

Sit — bench-tier TE at consensus TE19: NE is the 3rd-toughest matchup vs TEs, 13% target share.

  • NE ranks 3 of 32 against TEs (one of the tougher matchups, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 23.5 team points as 1.5-point favorites.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 76% snap share.

Why Michael Wilson

Toss-Up

WR2 and big-bodied outside target. Physical at the catch point with 1,000-yard breakout production and full-season availability.

Toss-up — WR37 consensus, projects WR34 this week: SF is the 11th-toughest matchup vs WRs, 17.5 implied team total caps the ceiling.

  • SF ranks 11 of 32 against WRs (one of the tougher matchups, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 17.5 team points as 11.5-point underdogs.
  • Listed WR on the latest depth chart with a 91% snap share.

Latest on Wilson

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricBrenton StrangeMichael Wilson
Projected points
Consensus rankTE19WR37
Opponent vs positionNE · 3 of 323-game sampleSF · 11 of 323-game sample
Receptions3 of 3215 of 32
Receiving Yards5 of 3211 of 32
Receiving TDs1 of 327 of 32
Targets4 of 3215 of 32
Anytime TD1 of 326 of 32
Target share13%27%
Reception share13%22%
Implied total · spread23.5-1.517.5+11.5
Depth chartTE1WR1
Snap share76%91%

Recent form

Brenton Strange — last 2 weeks

Week 2vs DEN
Week 1vs CLE

Michael Wilson — last 2 weeks

Week 2vs SEA
Week 1vs LAC

Signal breakdown

  • 7.9 vs 11.3 projected PPR pointsMichael Wilson +
  • Rank 19 vs 37Brenton Strange +
  • Opponent DvP rank 3 vs 11 (32 = softest)Michael Wilson +
  • Implied 23.5 vs 17.5 team pointsBrenton Strange +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 76% vs 91% snap shareMichael Wilson +

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