Brandon Aubrey or Chris Boswell: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start Brandon Aubrey: Dallas offers the better scoring environment

Aubrey gets the nod because Dallas offers the better convergence of scoring chances: a higher implied total and more frequent red-zone stalls create both extra-point and field-goal routes, while his elite range expands the play-calling window. The 0.9-point projection gap is meaningful at kicker, though not a runaway; calm conditions keep Boswell's accuracy and big-leg profile fully viable. Boswell's lower team total and fewer stalls are the actual risks to his floor, while Aubrey's risk is Dallas converting those drives into touchdowns instead of settling.

What flips it: A late downgrade to Dallas’ scoring outlook.

AI editor

Brandon Aubrey

Brandon Aubrey

K1DALvs NYG

Projected Points

Start
Chris Boswell

Chris Boswell

K5PITvs ATL

Projected Points

Start· medium

Why Brandon Aubrey

Start

Starting K with elite leg strength. Reliable from extreme distance and on kickoffs.

Start — K1 by consensus, projects K2 this week: 2.3 FG tries projected, above the 2.0 median, and 1.6 red-zone stalls a game.

  • His 64-yard ceiling gives Dallas a realistic answer when drives stall outside the red zone.
  • Aubrey’s PK1 standing reflects a broader scoring path, not just a stronger leg.

Why Chris Boswell

Start· medium

Starting PK and one of the league's most accurate. Big leg with proven cold-weather clutch production.

Boswell is the K12 play with a 22.8 implied total, 2.1 projected FG tries and 1.2 red-zone stalls per game feeding the leg.

  • Boswell’s accuracy keeps him live, especially with weather removing a major source of kicker volatility.
  • His best path is Pittsburgh stalling often enough to offset its lower scoring outlook.

The call

  • Consensus K12 at 9.0 projected points is squarely startable in a 12-team league — no replacement-level kicker beats that baseline.
  • Pittsburgh's 22.8 implied total plus 1.2 red-zone stalls per game funnels drives into field-goal tries: 1.9 makes on 2.1 attempts with 2.4 extra points projected.
  • He's the locked-in PK1 with no designation, hitting 84% (27/32) and connecting from 50-plus in six games with a 60-yard long, so distance isn't a cap on his range.
  • Only real wrinkle is an open roof with no forecast yet — check wind before kickoff, but nothing in the sheet suggests a problem.

Head-to-head stats

MetricBrandon AubreyChris Boswell
Projected points
Consensus rankK1K5
Projected FG attempts2.32.1
Red-zone stalls / game1.6(2025)1.2(2025)
Kicking conditionsCalm forecast at kickoffCalm forecast at kickoff
Implied total · spread25.0-1.522.8-3.0
Field-goal %85.7%(2025)84.4%(2025)
Depth chartK1K1

Signal breakdown

  • 9.9 vs 9.0 projected PPR pointsBrandon Aubrey +
  • Rank 1 vs 5Brandon Aubrey +
  • 2.3 vs 2.1 projected attemptsBrandon Aubrey +
  • 1.6 vs 1.2 red-zone stalls per gameBrandon Aubrey +
  • 4 mph, 80°F, partly cloudy vs 6 mph, 81°F, partly cloudyeven
  • Implied 25.0 vs 22.8 team pointsBrandon Aubrey +
  • No injury designationseven

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