Blake Corum or Jake Ferguson: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 3 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Start Ferguson for the broader receiving role
Start Ferguson: Corum’s near-even carry split with Williams keeps him viable (ESPN 2026-09-25), but his limited receiving role leaves little PPR cushion. Ferguson’s projection edge is negligible; the case is his much larger role and receiving profile, not a meaningful points gap. Ferguson’s low target share and sharp week-to-week swings are the real risks to this narrow call.
What flips it: Corum gaining a meaningful receiving role.
Sources: ESPN · Sep 25, 2026
AI editor
Blake Corum
8.28.69.0 Projected Points
Jake Ferguson
4.86.88.7 Projected Points
Blake Corum’s market
Jake Ferguson’s market
Why Blake Corum
Toss-Up· lowRB2 in complementary role. Compact one-cut runner with meaningful carry share behind the starter.
Near-even carry split with Williams gives Corum volume, but a 34% snap share and 2% target share cap his PPR ceiling at RB38.
- The near-even carry split gives Corum a path to useful rushing volume despite his complementary role.
- A soft team scoring outlook is not required for him to contribute; his case rests on carries, not targets.
The call
- Role: ESPN (2026-09-25) reports Corum has nearly split carries evenly with Williams through two weeks, so early-down work is real. His 34% snap share and 2% target share show he is mostly a rusher with little receiving work in PPR.
- Game script: A 24.3 implied team total and a -3.0 spread point to a positive, run-friendly script, which helps a carry-share back and adds touchdown equity.
- Matchup: DEN grades 22 of 32 against RBs, slightly soft. That rests on a 2-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so it shouldn't move the needle.
- What tips it: At 9.0 projected points and RB38, he's a flex-level play. Start him if your alternative is a low-volume WR or a pass-catcher-dependent RB. Sit him for anyone with a secure target share.
Latest on Corum
Through two weeks, Corum has nearly split carries evenly with Williams.
The Rams are better when both RBs get the ballESPN · Sep 25, 2026Rams running back Blake Corum's offseason workouts are already starting to pay off, going for 5.4 yards per carry in Week 1, but he's still looking to do more.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Jake Ferguson
Toss-Up· lowTE1 and high-volume receiving tight end. Reliable chain-mover and red-zone target over the middle.
TE12 at 8.7 projected with a neutral BAL matchup; 68% snaps but only 10% target share keeps him on the streaming bubble.
- His established receiving-tight-end role gives him more ways to earn points than Corum’s carry-dependent profile.
- A favorable scoring environment supports Ferguson’s chances to convert his red-zone role into a useful week.
The call
- Consensus TE12 and 8.7 projected PPR points put Ferguson right at the starter/replacement line in 12-team leagues. That is the definition of a coin flip.
- Role is secure at 68% snap share with no injury designation, but a 10% target share over 2 games is thin volume for a tight end who depends on catches.
- BAL ranks 13 of 32 vs TEs (middling, not soft) on a 2-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so the matchup offers no real edge either way. A 24.5 implied total is a respectable scoring environment.
- Tip it: start him if your alternative is a waiver-wire streamer without a locked role. Sit him for any TE with a clearly higher target share or a softer matchup.
Latest on Ferguson
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The first matchup of the 2026 season between the Dallas Cowboys and Washington Commanders is littered with headlines as the bitter rivals square off to ruin the other's week.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Blake Corum | Jake Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 8.28.69.0 | 4.86.88.7 |
| Consensus rank | RB38 | TE12 |
| Opponent vs position | DEN · 22 of 322-game sample | BAL · 13 of 322-game sample |
| Rushing Yards | 30 of 32 | — |
| Rushing TDs | 22 of 32 | — |
| Rushing Attempts | 25 of 32 | — |
| Receptions | 11 of 32 | 9 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 16 of 32 | 15 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 25 of 32 | 13 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | — | 15 of 32 |
| Targets | — | 11 of 32 |
| Target share | 2% | 10% |
| Reception share | 3% | 13% |
| Implied total · spread | 24.3-3.0 | 24.5+2.5 |
| Depth chart | RB2 | TE1 |
| Snap share | 34% | 68% |
| Start/Sit record | 1–0+2 toss-ups | 1–1+1 toss-up |
Recent form
Blake Corum — last 2 weeks
| Week 2 | vs NYG | 9.29.710.2 |
| Week 1 | vs SF | 5.45.45.4 |
Jake Ferguson — last 2 weeks
| Week 2 | vs WSH | 16.318.320.3 |
| Week 1 | vs NYG | 0.61.62.6 |
Signal breakdown
- 9.0 vs 8.7 projected PPR pointsBlake Corum +
- Rank 38 vs 12Jake Ferguson +
- Opponent DvP rank 22 vs 13 (32 = softest)even
- Implied 24.3 vs 24.5 team pointsJake Ferguson +
- No injury designationseven
- 34% vs 68% snap shareJake Ferguson +
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